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Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

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7<br />

Bonus-Malus Systems with<br />

Varying Deductibles<br />

7.1 Introduction<br />

In this chapter, we compare bonus-malus systems to deductibles. Specifically, we design a<br />

system in which the policyholders in the malus zone are allowed to choose at each renewal<br />

between a premium surcharge (induced by relativities associated with the bonus-malus scale)<br />

or a deductible in case <strong>of</strong> a claim during the forthcoming year. If the deductible is selected,<br />

this induces a strong incentive to careful driving. According to signal theory, drivers opting<br />

for the deductible are expected to be better drivers (on average) than those paying the<br />

premium surcharge induced by the upward mode in the bonus-malus scale.<br />

Bonus-malus systems do not take claim amounts into account so that a posteriori<br />

corrections only rely on the number <strong>of</strong> claims. Holtan (1994) suggested the use <strong>of</strong> very high<br />

deductibles that may be borrowed by the policyholder from the insurance company. Although<br />

technically acceptable, this approach obviously causes considerable practical problems. While<br />

Holtan (1994) assumes a high deductible which is constant for all policyholders, and thus<br />

independent <strong>of</strong> the level they occupy in the bonus-malus scale at the claim occurrence time,<br />

the present chapter lets the deductible vary between the levels <strong>of</strong> the bonus-malus scales, and<br />

also considers a mixed case setup <strong>of</strong> both premium and deductible surcharge after a claim.<br />

Specifically, the a posteriori premium correction induced by the bonus-malus scale is<br />

replaced with a deductible (in whole or in part). To each level <strong>of</strong> the bonus-malus scale is<br />

attached an amount <strong>of</strong> deductible, applied to the claims filed during the coverage period.<br />

Combining bonus-malus scales with varying deductibles presents a number <strong>of</strong> advantages:<br />

(1) according to signal theory, policyholders choosing varying deductible should be good<br />

drivers;<br />

<strong>Actuarial</strong> <strong>Modelling</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Claim</strong> <strong>Counts</strong>: <strong>Risk</strong> <strong>Classification</strong>, <strong>Credibility</strong> and Bonus-Malus Systems<br />

S. Pitrebois and J.-F. Walhin © 2007 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd<br />

M. Denuit, X. Maréchal,

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