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Actuarial Modelling of Claim Counts Risk Classification, Credibility ...

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Bonus-Malus Systems with Varying Deductibles 285<br />

Equation (7.10) is to be solved for all levels l such that r l > 100 % (that is, for all levels<br />

in the malus zone). So, the premium surcharge r l − 1EC 1 is replaced with an annual<br />

deductible d l . The relation (7.10) ensures that the substitution is actuarially fair.<br />

In practice, equation (7.10) does not possess an explicit solution so that numerical<br />

techniques have to be used. Panjer’s algorithm is employed to derive the distribution <strong>of</strong><br />

S. The claim amounts are discretized according to Method (7.4) and the probability mass<br />

is concentrated on 500 points. Then, the equation can be solved using appropriate routines<br />

available in the IML package <strong>of</strong> SAS R .<br />

7.3.2 Per <strong>Claim</strong> Deductible<br />

Of course, the deductible could also be applied to each claim filed by the policyholder.<br />

The indifference principle invoked above will again be used to determine the amount <strong>of</strong><br />

the deductible. Considering a policyholder in level l, he will have to pay r l EC 1 if he is<br />

subject to the a posteriori corrections induced by the bonus-malus scale. If, on the contrary,<br />

a fixed deductible d l is applied per claim, he will have to pay EC 1 as well as minC k d l <br />

for each <strong>of</strong> the claims C k reported to the company. Note that the expected number <strong>of</strong> claims<br />

is now r l because past claims history is used to update the claim frequency distribution.<br />

According to the indifference principle, the amount <strong>of</strong> deductible d l for a policyholder in<br />

level l is the solution to the equation<br />

)<br />

r l EC 1 = EC 1 + r l<br />

(EC 1 C 1

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