Fulltext - SBU

Predictor
variables
Validating
criteria
Statistical
methods
Results
Sensitivity
and specificity
Study
quality and
relevance
Comments
A total of 9 variables:
Age, gender,
caries experience,
plaque, MS (cut-off
CFU=10 5 /ml saliva),
LB in saliva, oral
hygiene habits, fluoride
supplement use,
saliva buffer capacity
(SB), parents’ family
structure (child living
with both parents)
education
>1 new dfs
Proportion
high risk:
50%
Se, Sp,
accuracy,
log regression,
OR
Best model
Caries experience + LB
Se: 82%; Sp: 77%
Best single predictor
Caries experience
Se: 78%
(95% CI 71–84);
Sp: 77%
(95% CI 71–82);
accuracy: 78 (almost
as good as the model)
MS
Se: 28%; Sp: 92%
LB
Se: 17%; Sp: 99%
Fluoride supplements
Se: 55%; Sp: 63%
Parents’ education
Se: 69%; Sp: 57%
High
Bias from
treatment
not likely
SB not significant
in the model
Highest OR
LB: 32
Baseline caries
prevalence: 12
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KAPITEL 5 • Riskbedömning
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