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Predictor<br />

variables<br />

Validating<br />

criteria<br />

Statistical<br />

methods<br />

Results<br />

Sensitivity<br />

and specificity<br />

Study<br />

quality and<br />

relevance<br />

Comments<br />

A total of 31<br />

variables: Age,<br />

gender, MS (presence<br />

or absence)<br />

from tongue, diet<br />

(beverages, candies,<br />

drinks during night),<br />

fluoride use, tooth<br />

brushing frequency,<br />

toothpaste, breastfeeding,<br />

chronic<br />

illness, medication,<br />

education of mother,<br />

immigrant background,<br />

demographic<br />

variables, socioeconomic<br />

variables<br />

≥1 dfs<br />

Proportion<br />

high risk:<br />

Not stated<br />

Estimated<br />

to ≥56%<br />

(proportion<br />

with<br />

immigrant<br />

background)<br />

Se, Sp,<br />

PPV, NPV,<br />

log regression,<br />

OR<br />

Best model<br />

Immigrant background,<br />

mothers education ≤9<br />

yrs, beverages ≥2/day,<br />

MS, candy ≥1/week<br />

Se: 87%; Sp: 83%;<br />

PPV: 84%; NPV: 87%<br />

Best single predictor<br />

Immigrant background<br />

Se: 77%; Sp: 59%<br />

Candies >1/week<br />

Se: 72%; Sp: 45%<br />

MS<br />

Se: 13%; Sp: 97%<br />

Tooth brushing<br />

≤1/day<br />

Se: 59%; Sp: 63%<br />

High<br />

Bias from<br />

treatment<br />

not likely<br />

The table continues on the next page<br />

KAPITEL 5 • Riskbedömning<br />

223

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