Fulltext - SBU

Predictor
variables
Validating
criteria
Statistical
methods
Results*
Sensitivity and
specificity
Study
quality and
relevance
Comments
Caries experience
at baseline, salivary
buffer, M 1–2
S, LB in
saliva, sugar consumption
2 yr:
≥5 new DFS
3 yr:
≥8 new DFS
Proportion
high risk:
25%
Se, Sp,
PPV, NPV
No model;
predictors
tested
separately
Caries experience
best
2 yr
Se: 62%; Sp: 71%;
accuracy: 0.69
3 yr
Se: 58%; Sp: 69%;
accuracy: 0.66
MS 2 yr
Se: 71%; Sp: 52%
MS 3 yr
Se: 79%; Sp: 53%
LB 2 yr
Se: 58%; Sp: 63%
LB 3 yr
Se: 79%; Sp: 53%
SB 3 yr
Se: 84%; Sp: 50%
Low
Small sample
not well
described.
Incomplete
data
reporting
>0 d 1–2 mft primary
molars or >0 d 1–2 mft
all primary teeth or
>0 d 1–2 mft including
initial lesions and
D 1–2 MFT including
initial lesions (pit
and fissures)
>0 new
DMFT
Proportion
high risk:
27–72%
Se, Sp, dmft molars >4
PPV, NPV, Se: 42%; Sp: 78%;
relative PPV: 0.43; NPV:
risk, A z 0.78
dmft molars >0
Se: 87%; Sp: 34%;
PPV: 0.34; NPV:
0.87
Low
Obvious bias
from treatment
Best for d 1–2 mft
+ D 1–2 MFT occl
(including enamel).
Not presented in Se,
Sp though (A z =74)
KAPITEL 5 • Riskbedömning
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