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Predictor<br />

variables<br />

Validating<br />

criteria<br />

Incidence/increment<br />

Statistical<br />

methods<br />

Results<br />

Sensitivity<br />

and specificity<br />

Study<br />

quality and<br />

relevance<br />

Comments<br />

Baseline DFS,<br />

MS, LB, oral<br />

hygiene (plaque<br />

index), saliva<br />

secretion, medication,<br />

dental<br />

visits, sugar<br />

consumption<br />

≥1 new DS<br />

or ≥1 new<br />

DFS<br />

Proportion<br />

high risk:<br />

Not stated<br />

(After<br />

1 yr)<br />

Mean<br />

root DFS<br />

increment.<br />

Institutionalised:<br />

3.3<br />

Independently<br />

living: 1.0<br />

71% of<br />

institutionalised<br />

59% of<br />

independently<br />

living<br />

developed<br />

≥1<br />

new DFS<br />

(root<br />

+coronal)<br />

OR, log<br />

regression<br />

Significant OR<br />

in models<br />

New DS<br />

Baseline<br />

caries: 5.0<br />

Residence:<br />

0.3 (Se: 63%;<br />

Sp: 79%;<br />

accuracy<br />

0.71)<br />

New DFS<br />

Baseline<br />

caries: 7.7<br />

Model: Se:<br />

70; Sp: 77<br />

Model with<br />

baseline caries<br />

excluded<br />

LB: OR 2.0<br />

Poor oral<br />

hygiene:<br />

OR 1.9<br />

Sugar consumption:<br />

OR 2.0<br />

Residence:<br />

OR 0.3<br />

Se: 72%;<br />

Sp: 58%;<br />

accuracy:<br />

0.72<br />

Low<br />

Reliability<br />

not stated.<br />

Se and Sp<br />

not reported.<br />

Root<br />

caries not<br />

reported<br />

separately<br />

The table continues on the next page<br />

KAPITEL 5 • Riskbedömning<br />

287

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