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autologous blood and marrow transplantation - Blog Science ...

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10 Chapter 1: AML<br />

years that a significant survival advantage emerged. In summary, therefore, of six<br />

major trials aimed at evaluating the role of autografting in AML in first remission,<br />

overall survival benefit has been demonstrated in only one trial, where follow-up<br />

was prolonged.<br />

These results do not at first sight suggest that autografting has a routine role in<br />

first remission. There are a number of features of this extensive trial experience that<br />

deserve closer examination. The single-center <strong>and</strong> registry data suggested that<br />

45-55% of patients who received an autograft would become long-term survivors.<br />

Even on the intent-to-treat analysis, this has been exceeded in most trials. In<br />

virtually all trials, the autograft resulted in a significant reduction in relapse risk<br />

even though not all patients allocated to autograft actually received it. Perhaps the<br />

clearest example of this was in the MRC trial. Here the survival at 7 years from<br />

diagnosis with chemotherapy alone was 40%, which is at least equivalent to that<br />

achieved by high-dose Ara-C schedules. 1<br />

However, the addition of autograft as an<br />

extra treatment course was able, on an intent-to-treat analysis, to reduce the relapse<br />

risk from 58 to 37%, even though one-third of the patients allocated by r<strong>and</strong>omization<br />

to autograft did not receive it. So the substantial antileukemic effect was<br />

provided by only two-thirds of the patients. Arguably if they all had received it, the<br />

relapse risk could have been reduced further. Compliance with allocated treatment<br />

in these trials varied between 54 <strong>and</strong> 88%. In some cases, this was partially<br />

explained because after r<strong>and</strong>omization patients had to undergo a further course of<br />

chemotherapy before receiving the autograft (as in the MRC trial). In some cases<br />

there was a delay in delivering the autograft, which resulted in some patients<br />

relapsing (as in the US Intergroup Trial).<br />

The beneficial effect on relapse was counteracted by two factors. First, there<br />

were more deaths in the autograft arm. Most, but not all, followed autografting. The<br />

risk of death varied from 3 to 15%, which is higher than that expected (6-8%) from<br />

the single-center reports. In the MRC trial, where 12% of recipients of autograft<br />

died, the reasons were largely associated with poor quality of hematologic<br />

engraftment. If autografting is to fulfill its antileukemic potential, it has to be made<br />

safer. It remains to be seen whether the change to peripheral <strong>blood</strong> stem cells will<br />

improve the situation.<br />

The second main confounding factor was that in several of the trials, patients<br />

who relapsed from the chemotherapy arm were more successfully rescued by<br />

further treatment. This is well illustrated in the EORTC-GIMEMA trial <strong>and</strong> to<br />

some extent in the US Intergroup trial. In general, previous experience in the<br />

treatment of AML suggests that once a patient has relapsed, the prognosis is very<br />

poor. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, registry data persistently demonstrate a durable survival<br />

of about 25-35% in patients who received a transplant in second remission. What<br />

has been unknown to date is how representative patients transplanted in CR2 were<br />

of all patients who relapsed. In other words, what was the denominator against

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