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An image grab taken from a video uploaded on YouTube shows Syrian children waving<br />

<strong>the</strong> pre-Baath former national flag during an anti-regime protest in <strong>the</strong> northwestern Idlib<br />

province.<br />

Everything about Syria is steeped in miasma: is this conflict<br />

politically and sociologically definable as a civil war? Has it become a<br />

sectarian war? How strong and widespread is <strong>the</strong> Salafist (and global<br />

Jihadi) presence? Was militarization wise or did <strong>the</strong> opposition have no<br />

choice in this regard? Are <strong>the</strong> armed groups able to defeat <strong>the</strong> regime’s<br />

forces or will <strong>the</strong>re be a perpetual, bloody stalemate whose only certainty<br />

is Syria’s complete physical destruction and long-term division? Is a<br />

negotiated outcome, that is, a political solution <strong>the</strong> only possibility, or is it<br />

uninformed to speak <strong>of</strong> political solutions at this stage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> conflict?<br />

Despite this fog, <strong>the</strong>re are, in my mind, several certainties. One, Syria<br />

is not a clear-cut case <strong>of</strong> bad regime versus good society, for that society is<br />

not at one regarding <strong>the</strong> violent overthrow <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> state. This is not a mass,<br />

democratic revolution but a Sunni rebellion. Any spontaneity to its<br />

genesis, including <strong>the</strong> goal <strong>of</strong> non-violent resistance, came to a speedy<br />

end, provided with a significant impetus by <strong>the</strong> flow <strong>of</strong> foreign arms,<br />

money, and intelligence, including from <strong>the</strong> US. A substantial ‘silent’<br />

majority desperately wishes to avoid Syria’s disintegration because <strong>the</strong>y<br />

simply love <strong>the</strong>ir country, not <strong>the</strong> regime or armed rebels, and prefer<br />

reform and a negotiated settlement.<br />

Two, it is false to equate, as <strong>the</strong> regime portrays it, every Syrian’s<br />

opposition to <strong>the</strong> Ba’athi state with acting on behalf <strong>of</strong> Zionists and

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