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Housing Up, Home Ownership Down<br />

The Mysterious New Housing Bubble<br />

by<br />

Mike Whitney<br />

What's Holding <strong>the</strong> Economy Back? The Collapsed Housing Bubble, End <strong>of</strong> Story<br />

The rebound in housing is now in full swing. Housing starts are up,<br />

existing home sales are gaining pace, inventory is down, and prices are on<br />

<strong>the</strong> rise. According to a recent report by Corelogic “House prices are up<br />

6.3% year-over-year in October, <strong>the</strong> largest increase since 2006 and <strong>the</strong><br />

eighth consecutive increase in home prices nationally on a year-over-year<br />

basis.” Many experts are now predicting that 2013 will be even better, in<br />

fact, J.P. Morgan thinks that prices could gain ano<strong>the</strong>r 10 percent in <strong>the</strong><br />

next 12 months. Here’s <strong>the</strong> story from <strong>the</strong> Wall Street Journal:<br />

“J.P. Morgan Chase Co. expects U.S. home prices to rise 3.4% in its<br />

base-case estimate and up to 9.7% in its most bullish scenario <strong>of</strong> economic<br />

growth. Standard and Poor’s, which rates private-issue mortgage bonds,<br />

on Friday said it expects a 5% rise in 2013.” (“Home Prices Could Jump<br />

9.7% in 2013, J.P. Morgan Says”, Wall Street Journal)<br />

And <strong>the</strong> housing boom is having an impact on Wall Street, too, where<br />

prescient investors who loaded up on mortgage-backed securities (MBS)<br />

are cashing in bigtime via <strong>the</strong> Fed’s new MBS-buying program dubbed<br />

QE3. Fed chairman Ben Bernanke is paying top-dollar for financial<br />

derivatives that, in real terms, are probably worth just pennies on <strong>the</strong><br />

dollar.

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