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Outdoor Lighting and Crime - Amper

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vote-losing) disincentives such as special taxes. For example, the incentive to develop highrise<br />

city office <strong>and</strong> apartment buildings may disappear if strict upper limits are applied to the<br />

amount of light they are permitted to radiate at night. It could be advantageous for lighting<br />

restrictions to be more stringent in specific areas. This scenario is unlike anything that has<br />

been tried before (city blackouts in World War 2 were much darker <strong>and</strong> had other<br />

constraints), so the practical difficulties <strong>and</strong> likelihood of success are unknown at present.<br />

Relatively simple schemes may degenerate into overly simplistic approaches if implemented<br />

without additional insights about local factors. Conversely, local factors may give insights<br />

into new ways of managing development. For example, for decades at Tucson, AZ there has<br />

been an ongoing development sprawl out into the desert, benefiting l<strong>and</strong> speculators, builders<br />

<strong>and</strong> homebuyers in different ways. Environmental objections are gradually overcoming the<br />

complex political <strong>and</strong> commercial factors that have favoured development (Davis 1999). It<br />

may now prove possible to justify manipulation of the existing limit on lumens per acre<br />

across the city <strong>and</strong> county, <strong>and</strong> elsewhere, to allow a measure of controlled growth in<br />

appropriate areas <strong>and</strong> to inhibit growth in others.<br />

So, what do we do now? Continue with our conventional urban intensification <strong>and</strong> pretend<br />

that there is no need for change? Learn to live with increasing crime <strong>and</strong> never quite enough<br />

additional police to contain it? Devise modern equivalents of unlit nineteenth century rural<br />

villages linked by freeways? Invent new kinds of city with crime designed out somehow<br />

while keeping the outdoor bright lights? Whatever path is taken, it needs to be flexible<br />

enough to adapt to new revelations of what works <strong>and</strong> what doesn’t. In the meantime, there is<br />

a pressing need to get on with learning more about the practical application of lighting<br />

minimisation as a crime reduction technique, <strong>and</strong> possibly as a development control.<br />

As part of the possibility for governments to control urbanisation by the figurative flick of a<br />

light switch, dark area ordinances may prove sufficient by themselves to stop development<br />

under airport approach <strong>and</strong> departure paths, or to stop alienation of parkl<strong>and</strong>, green wedges<br />

<strong>and</strong> the like. But who knows? The idea could backfire if a Dark Suburb adaptation of the<br />

Dark Campus idea caught on as the benefits <strong>and</strong> hazards became better understood. It is not<br />

even untried, as some coastal towns in Florida already have no street lighting <strong>and</strong> stringent<br />

restrictions on other outside lighting as a means of avoiding interference with natural breeding<br />

of endangered species of turtle (eg IDA IS116 1997). The real estate market in these places<br />

has certainly not collapsed.<br />

Doubtless, there will be objections to the introduction of lighting controls anywhere, but it<br />

would be difficult to sustain these in the face of the evidence that overturning or relaxing any<br />

such controls appears likely to result in more crime. The case for lighting controls would be<br />

helped by more quantitative data on the expected crime reduction benefits. It would be useful<br />

to know if the crime rate could be reduced to something like its value of say 50 years ago by<br />

cutting outdoor ambient artificial light to values like those in the 1950s. Whether the social<br />

factors that set the potential crime rate would allow such large reductions, <strong>and</strong> with what time<br />

constants, are new challenges for researchers.<br />

8.3.3 The contribution from vehicle lighting<br />

Isobe <strong>and</strong> Hamamura (1998) discovered indications that light energy loss from vehicle<br />

headlighting was detectable in their data. The notional estimate of this quantity used in<br />

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