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Outdoor Lighting and Crime - Amper

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the crime is much less feared by most people. Neither case implies causation by light, just as<br />

the shift in proportions over the years does not imply causation by light. Some factors other<br />

than light <strong>and</strong> lighting, by themselves, must be having a substantial effect on the day-night<br />

ratios.<br />

As will be demonstrated in following parts of this document, there appears to be no known<br />

reliable evidence that lighting, by itself, has a net hindering effect on burglary at night.<br />

<strong>Lighting</strong> appears to provide net assistance in the commission of graffiti <strong>and</strong> possibly other<br />

v<strong>and</strong>alism, crimes that have much in common with the surveillance, approach, break <strong>and</strong><br />

escape phases of burglary. External light would appear to be generally advantageous to<br />

criminals, especially for the indoors part of burglary at night. Of course, the trends in Figure<br />

5 may just reflect a growing belief or experience among criminals that burglary in broad<br />

daylight is more likely to succeed, regardless of the reason <strong>and</strong> whether the belief is true or<br />

not.<br />

20

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