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Space Security Index

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<strong>Space</strong> Support for Terrestrial Military Operations<br />

Periodic launches would follow every six months, leading to a functional capability by<br />

2014. 185 ISRO recently announced that the seven-satellite constellation had been increased<br />

to 11 satellites for the IRNSS system. 186<br />

<strong>Space</strong> <strong>Security</strong> Impact<br />

China’s and India’s increasing dual-use and military space-support activities could have<br />

mixed results for space security. On the one hand, the strategic value of space assets increases<br />

as actors engaged in competition with each other begin to rely more on space-based support.<br />

e development of competing systems, such as individual satellite navigation systems, could<br />

result from this dynamic. On the other hand, their increased participation in space also raises<br />

the value of policies that reduce the likelihood of conict in space. e growing roles of these<br />

countries as prominent space actors make space security discussions not only benecial but<br />

necessary.<br />

Trend 6.3: More states are developing military and multiuse<br />

space capabilities<br />

During the Cold War, states allied with either the U.S. or the USSR beneted from their<br />

capabilities. Today, declining costs for space access and the proliferation of space technology<br />

enable more states to develop and deploy military satellites. Until 1988, when Israel launched<br />

its rst, only the U.K., NATO, and China had joined the U.S. and USSR in launching<br />

dedicated military satellites. In 1995, France and Chile both launched dedicated military<br />

satellites. 187 Historically, military satellites not owned by the U.S. or Russia were almost<br />

exclusively intended for communications and imagery intelligence. Recently, however, states<br />

such as China, France, Germany, Japan, Italy, and Spain have been developing satellites<br />

with a wider range of functions. According to a recent report, security has become a key<br />

driver of established government space programs, pushing spending higher and encouraging<br />

dual-use applications. 188 Indeed, in the absence of dedicated military satellites, many actors<br />

use their civilian satellites for military purposes or purchase data and services from satellite<br />

operators. 189 Such activities contribute to the blurring of the divide between military, civilian,<br />

and commercial space assets and applications.<br />

Table 6.5: Minimum resolutions for remote sensing target identification (in meters) 190<br />

Target on the Ground Detection General<br />

Identification<br />

Precise<br />

Identification<br />

Technical<br />

Analysis<br />

Vehicles 1.5 0.6 0.3 0.045 Vehicles<br />

Aircraft 4.5 1.5 1.0 0.045 Aircraft<br />

Nuclear weapons<br />

components<br />

Rockets and<br />

artillery<br />

Command and control<br />

headquarters<br />

Target on the Ground<br />

2.5 1.5 0.3 0.015 Nuclear weapons<br />

components<br />

1.0 0.6 0.15 0.045 Rockets and<br />

artillery<br />

3.0 1.5 1.0 0.09 Command and control<br />

headquarters<br />

Europe<br />

European states have developed a range of space systems to support military operations, with<br />

France having the most advanced and diversied independent military space capabilities.<br />

While individual nations have pursued independent space capabilities for military support,<br />

129

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