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R&D on information technology is expected to grow as firms seek a<br />

competitive advantage.<br />

Professional service firms are incurring a significant increase in research and<br />

development expenditure to ensure that effective and competitive use is made of<br />

information technology in e-commerce. As a broad indicator, an estimate of<br />

approximately one per cent of gross revenue would be an appropriate measure of<br />

current professional services R&D expenditure. Ten years ago this is likely to have<br />

been almost negligible (at around 0.1 per cent of gross revenue). We anticipate<br />

that figures of three per cent and five per cent are not unrealistic estimates for<br />

professional service firm’s R&D expenditure in 2005 and 2010 respectively. This<br />

spend is likely to be concentrated in the legal services sector on knowledge<br />

management, development of e-services and development of information<br />

technology. It is likely that this R&D expenditure will cause a shift from<br />

traditional spending in ‘physical’ R&D. It will clearly be necessary for the<br />

regulatory and taxation environment to take account of these shifts.<br />

Survey Response: Duncan Giles, Blake Dawson Waldron,<br />

IRG member, 20 July 1999<br />

It has not been practical to quantify the additional costs that business<br />

services firms will incur in order to meet the growing e-commerce needs<br />

in a away that is reasonably representative of the sector at large.<br />

5.4 New business models<br />

E-commerce may force some business service organisations to reconfigure<br />

the way in which they conduct their business. This may result in a change<br />

in the compilation of the sector’s inputs, as some are reduced while<br />

others are increased. For example the use of teleworking may reduce<br />

office space costs (which are about 15 per cent of business service<br />

organisation costs):<br />

Significant reductions in both bandwidth costs and infrastructure accessibility<br />

seem likely to occur in the 2000–2005 timeframe which will lead to very large<br />

and perhaps ubiquitous ado<strong>pt</strong>ion of very high bandwidth services, certainly in<br />

the larger professional service organisations. Although teleworking (and the<br />

paperless office) have been touted as one of the most visible manifestations of<br />

the information economy for many years, it seems probable that this period will<br />

see much more user friendly and acce<strong>pt</strong>able home work environments (such as<br />

effective video conferencing) and is likely to lead to the creation of teleworking<br />

scenarios that offer a genuine and long term alternative to traditional office<br />

based work. As this happens, there will be a downward pressure on salaries and<br />

real estate costs which presently account for approximately 25 per cent and<br />

15 per cent of professional services organisations’ gross costs respectively.<br />

Survey Response: Duncan Giles, Blake Dawson Waldron,<br />

IRG member, 20 July 1999<br />

The view emerged from working group sessions of the Industry Reference<br />

Group that it would be reasonable to foreshadow that approximately<br />

five per cent less labour would be required to carry out current business<br />

functions as a result of the internal efficiencies e-commerce would create<br />

within the business services sector. It was also expected that there would<br />

be a reduced need for consumables such as paper as information products<br />

are stored and delivered electronically.<br />

It is likely that 20 per cent of all legal services will be delivered electronically by<br />

2005 and probably 40 per cent by 2010. Examples abound in the consumer<br />

market in the areas of conveyancing, debt recovery, financing transactions and<br />

registrations. Many of these services will be provided in the normal course<br />

without any human involvement. Larger legal service providers will also utilise<br />

electronic preparation and delivery of services and are likely to be best placed to<br />

spend the significant amounts required on research and development of these<br />

services and products.<br />

Survey Response: Duncan Giles, Blake Dawson Waldron,<br />

IRG member, 20 July 1999<br />

117

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