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Table C.3<br />

Technology and household taste assum<strong>pt</strong>ions for sectors: (average annual<br />

percentage changes)<br />

(I) (II) (III)<br />

Sector Household Technology:<br />

preferences (a) Intermediate Primary-factor<br />

input-using (b) using (c)<br />

1 Agriculture, forestry and fishing 0.2 -0.1 -2.0<br />

2 Mining -0.8 -1.0 -0.6<br />

3 Food, beverages and tobacco 0.1 -0.2 -0.9<br />

4 Textiles, clothing and footwear -1.6 -0.5 -1.9<br />

5 Wood and wood products -0.5 -0.5 0.0<br />

6 Paper, paper products, printing 1.5 -0.3 -0.2<br />

7 Chemicals, petroleum, coal products 0.4 0.5 -0.1<br />

8 Non-metallic construction materials -1.5 -0.3 -0.9<br />

9 Basic metal products -0.1 0.6 -1.0<br />

10 Cars and other transport equipment 0.6 0.9 -1.5<br />

11 Electronic, other specialist equip. 2.5 1.5 -1.5<br />

12 Leather, rubber, plastic products -0.3 -0.7 -0.1<br />

13 Electricity, gas and water 0.2 0.2 -3.4<br />

14 Construction 1.9 -0.1 0.0<br />

15 Wholesale and retail trade -1.9 -1.5 0.0<br />

16 Transport and storage 0.5 -0.3 -1.2<br />

17 Communications 0.0 2.4 -5.5<br />

18 Finance and business services 1.3 1.3 -2.8<br />

19 Dwelling ownership 0.1 0.0 0.6<br />

20 Public administration and defence -1.1 -0.7 -0.3<br />

21 Health, education and welfare 0.7 -0.6 -0.3<br />

22 Hospitality, leisure, other services 0.0 -0.4 0.0<br />

(a)<br />

(b)<br />

(c)<br />

Annual rate of shift of consum<strong>pt</strong>ion function.<br />

Annual rate of change of use of the commodity identified on the left-hand panel per unit of<br />

output of industries using the commodity.<br />

Annual rate of change of use of all primary factors (labour, capital and agricultural land) per<br />

unit of production of the industry identified on the left.<br />

In MONASH, household preferences are described by a utility function<br />

leading to demand functions of the form:<br />

X i<br />

= H i<br />

(P,C,T)<br />

where: X i<br />

is household preference for good i, H i<br />

is consum<strong>pt</strong>ion of good<br />

i per household; P is a vector of commodity prices; C is total<br />

consum<strong>pt</strong>ion expenditure per household and T is a taste change variable.<br />

The assum<strong>pt</strong>ions for these are summarised in column (I) of Table C.3. For<br />

example, it was assumed that consum<strong>pt</strong>ion of Electronic and other<br />

specialist equipment (sector 11) will increase at a rate 2.5 per cent a year<br />

faster than can be explained on the basis of changes in prices and changes<br />

in the average budget of households.<br />

68

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