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Appendix B Technical guide to the MONASH model.................................................58 B.1 Overview ..................................................................................... 58 B.2 The structure of MONASH .............................................................. 59 B.3 Evaluation of regional impacts ....................................................... 61 Appendix C MONASH base case forecasts ...............................................................64 C.1 MONASH methodology ................................................................... 64 C.2 Forecasts for macroeconomic variables, the structure of exports, industry technologies and household tastes ..................................... 65 C.3 MONASH forecasts for industry output and employment .................... 70 Appendix D Tables of detailed assumptions and results ...........................................78 vi
Part 2 – Case studies Section One Introduction ....................................................................................87 1.1 Approach ..................................................................................... 87 1.2 Identifying sectors ........................................................................ 87 Section Two Banking and finance .........................................................................91 2.1 Nature of the sector and the context .............................................. 91 2.2 Role for e-commerce ..................................................................... 91 2.3 Cost savings ................................................................................. 94 2.4 New costs and intermediaries ......................................................... 95 2.5 Changing business modes .............................................................. 96 2.6 International dimensions............................................................... 99 Section Three Information Technology (IT) industries and e-commerce ...................... 101 3.1 The IT industries ......................................................................... 101 3.2 Use of e-commerce by the IT industries .......................................... 102 3.3 Potential benefits ........................................................................ 103 3.4 New costs ................................................................................... 105 3.5 Industry structure/ new business models ........................................ 105 3.6 Jobs and skills ............................................................................ 106 3.7 International dimensions.............................................................. 106 Section Four Communications services ................................................................. 109 4.1 Description of the sector .............................................................. 109 4.2 E-commerce and communications .................................................. 109 4.3 Cost savings ................................................................................ 110 4.4 New costs ................................................................................... 111 4.5 New business models .................................................................... 111 4.6 External dimensions .................................................................... 113 Section Five Business services ............................................................................ 115 5.1 Description of the sector .............................................................. 115 5.2 Cost savings ................................................................................ 115 5.3 New costs ................................................................................... 116 5.4 New business models .................................................................... 117 5.5 External dimensions .................................................................... 118 Section Six Health ........................................................................................... 121 6.1 Description of the sector .............................................................. 121 6.2 Service delivery channels and the Health Value Network .................. 121 6.3 Cost savings as a result of electronic transactions ............................ 126 6.4 New costs ................................................................................... 128 6.5 New business models .................................................................... 129 Section Seven Media and entertainment ................................................................. 133 7.1 Background of the sector .............................................................. 133 7.2 Newspapers and magazines ........................................................... 134 7.3 Television ................................................................................... 137 7.4 Radio and recorded music ............................................................. 139 vii
Page 2 and 3: © Commonwealth of Australia 2000 I
Page 5: Table of contents Foreword ........
Page 9 and 10: Executive summary E-commerce is sti
Page 11 and 12: Part 1— economic analysis
Page 13 and 14: Chapter One Study context, aims and
Page 15 and 16: Within the business-to-business cat
Page 17 and 18: Table 1.4 Projected growth in econo
Page 19 and 20: Chapter Two Economic issues What di
Page 21 and 22: Exhibit 2.1 Disintermediation effec
Page 23 and 24: Table 2.1 E-commerce impact on vari
Page 25 and 26: Chapter Three Changes ahead—indus
Page 27 and 28: Health Significant efficiencies sta
Page 29 and 30: Chapter Four Economy-wide assessmen
Page 31 and 32: Direct changes and flow on impacts
Page 33 and 34: consumption relative to economic ac
Page 35 and 36: External competitiveness Greater us
Page 37 and 38: Industry outcomes Greater use of e-
Page 39 and 40: Food products The food products sec
Page 41 and 42: people with differing occupational
Page 43 and 44: Tasmania and the Northern Territory
Page 45 and 46: Table 4.2 Regional growth and emplo
Page 47: The data for country regions (Exhib
Page 50 and 51: impacts are a reasonable representa
Page 53 and 54: Chapter Six Policy implications and
Page 55 and 56: Appendix A Study methodology, shock
Page 57 and 58:
confidence. This is at the expense
Page 59 and 60:
All of the GDP gain generated by ch
Page 61 and 62:
(s11) Saving of particular inputs I
Page 63 and 64:
Table A.1 continued Commodity Per c
Page 65 and 66:
Table A.2 continued Engine & Boiler
Page 67 and 68:
Table A.2 continued Safety Inspecto
Page 69 and 70:
Table A.3 continued Industries 2007
Page 71 and 72:
B.2 The structure of MONASH The cor
Page 73 and 74:
simulations it is assumed that the
Page 75 and 76:
Table B.1 (Continued) MONASH-RR Reg
Page 77 and 78:
C.2 Forecasts for macroeconomic var
Page 79 and 80:
other grains, iron and non-iron ore
Page 81 and 82:
The numbers in column (II) of Table
Page 83 and 84:
Productivity growth over the histor
Page 85 and 86:
forecast of a 0.1 per cent decline
Page 87 and 88:
Productivity growth in the construc
Page 89 and 90:
Employment prospects in the sector
Page 91 and 92:
Table D.1 continued Textiles, cloth
Page 93 and 94:
Table D.1 continued Health, educati
Page 95 and 96:
Table D.2 continued 45 Bags and Con
Page 97:
Part 2 — case studies
Page 100 and 101:
Industry sectors’ use of e-commer
Page 102 and 103:
e-commerce were chosen. Key questio
Page 104 and 105:
Banking For some time now most of t
Page 106 and 107:
2.3 Cost savings Banks are keen to
Page 108 and 109:
2.5 Changing business modes Branch
Page 110 and 111:
Banks are also looking to take adva
Page 112 and 113:
NAB, as a multinational, is already
Page 114 and 115:
activities such as consumer electro
Page 116 and 117:
Box 3.2 Building a business on e-co
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One of the issues for all industrie
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108
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Box 4.2 Australia Post and e-commer
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Opportunities are being created for
Page 126 and 127:
Value can be transferred into Austr
Page 128 and 129:
Continued use of email and the deve
Page 130 and 131:
E-commerce allows some flexibility
Page 132 and 133:
120
Page 134 and 135:
are introduced to market at a start
Page 136 and 137:
educe the duplication of assessment
Page 138 and 139:
6.3 Cost savings as a result of ele
Page 140 and 141:
The primary e-commerce tools for im
Page 142 and 143:
New service modes and channels to t
Page 144 and 145:
132
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This Section will review the implic
Page 148 and 149:
of greater depth. (It should be not
Page 150 and 151:
consumers watch five per cent less
Page 152 and 153:
artist is the promotion which airpl
Page 154 and 155:
New costs The fragmentation and reg
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gambled. The development of Interne
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146
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Making a purchase over the Internet
Page 162 and 163:
Customers who access troubleshootin
Page 164 and 165:
they does not actually sell those i
Page 166 and 167:
Key points There are few other sect
Page 168 and 169:
e-commerce allows quicker order pro
Page 170 and 171:
9.3 New costs The demand for busine
Page 172 and 173:
How a ticket is sold, through an ag
Page 174 and 175:
Box 10.1 Case study: E-commerce and
Page 176 and 177:
The education and training sector h
Page 178 and 179:
166
Page 180 and 181:
11.2 Production Manufacturing busin
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Opportunities for re-intermediation
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Value could transfer within the sec
Page 186 and 187:
174
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years’ time. 30 This reflects an
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seeks to provide a point of referen
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To a small extent, direct selling t
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182
Page 196 and 197:
Box 13.1 Austmine—a window for th
Page 198 and 199:
Box 13.2 Leaving mining sites for w
Page 200:
188
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