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PERÚ - Observatory for Renewable Energy in Latin America and

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<br />

Perú- Products I <strong>and</strong> II<br />


<br />

are valued tak<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>to account the power peak prices <strong>in</strong> the bar where the<br />

transference is orig<strong>in</strong>ated.<br />

The short-term Marg<strong>in</strong>al Cost is def<strong>in</strong>ed as the highest variable cost from among<br />

all the generat<strong>in</strong>g units that are dispatched <strong>in</strong> a determ<strong>in</strong>ed <strong>in</strong>stant, be<strong>in</strong>g then the<br />

cost of the dispatched energy the sames as the variable cost of the most expensive<br />

thermal generator. With<strong>in</strong> this market there can be a great volatility <strong>in</strong> the energy<br />

prices, due to the costs fluctuations <strong>in</strong> fuel oil <strong>and</strong> the supply of available<br />

technologies with lower generation costs. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, the “Bus-Bar<br />

Tariff” 6 represents the weighted expectation of the marg<strong>in</strong>al price <strong>in</strong> a time<br />

horizon, as its calculation <strong>in</strong>teriorizes projections of supply <strong>and</strong> dem<strong>and</strong> 7 <strong>and</strong> that<br />

is why it does not follow the behavior of the marg<strong>in</strong>al cost. The Graphic Nº 28<br />

shows up the evaluation of the Spot Price <strong>and</strong> the Bus-bar tariff <strong>in</strong> the period<br />

1999 – 2010.<br />

Graphic N° 28: Evolution of Spot Price <strong>and</strong> Bus-Bar Tariff <strong>in</strong> the SEIN (1990-2010)<br />

On the other h<strong>and</strong>, it is important to st<strong>and</strong> out that the Peruvian Hydric System<br />

presents periods of low water among the months of May <strong>and</strong> November, so the<br />

convergence of factors like reduction of hydric contribution, absence of low<br />

operation costs projects, dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>and</strong> high costs of fuels, could lead to an<br />

<strong>in</strong>crement of the marg<strong>in</strong>al cost, which is transferred to the short-term market.<br />

Moreover, the regulatory process may cause an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the marg<strong>in</strong>al cost, as<br />

sometimes it does not fulfill the operators’s expectations or does not <strong>in</strong>teriorize<br />

the real tendencies of the market, both <strong>in</strong> terms of dem<strong>and</strong> projection <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>in</strong>corporation of new projects, most of which do not materialize <strong>in</strong> many cases.<br />

Generators that do not have contracted all their productive capacity with free<br />




























































<br />

6 
It is applied to regulated market customers.
<br />

7 
Its calculation is based on <strong>in</strong><strong>for</strong>mation from the previous year, as a COES’s proposal, <strong>and</strong> is checked<br />

<strong>and</strong> corrected with premises <strong>in</strong> accordance with the discretion of OSINERGMIN.
<br />

46


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