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integration of solid oxide fuel cells and ... - Ea Energianalyse

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2.2. Auxiliary Power Unit (APU)<br />

Sensitivity analysis <strong>of</strong> Ship ABS vs ECH<br />

15<br />

10<br />

Annuity increase [%]<br />

5<br />

0<br />

-10 -5 0 5 10<br />

-5<br />

-10<br />

Purchase price ABS<br />

Purchase price EAC<br />

Diesel price<br />

Efficiency SOFC<br />

Usage time fraction<br />

Discount rate<br />

-15<br />

Increase in variables [%]<br />

Figure 2.1: The percentage increase in annuity gain is shown for a 10% increase <strong>of</strong> the input<br />

parameters. The annuity is for a lifespan <strong>of</strong> 10 years. The purchase price <strong>of</strong> the ABS unit is<br />

200.000DKK. With the chosen parameters the gained annuity is 75.000DKK/y (incl purchase).<br />

price <strong>of</strong> the ABS unit, however, gives only a 3,5% decrease <strong>of</strong> the annuity<br />

for a 10% increased price, <strong>and</strong> the ECH price <strong>and</strong> discount rate gives even<br />

smaller changes. So the lack <strong>of</strong> exact knowledge about the price turns out<br />

not to be so critical after all.<br />

The reason for the huge influence from SOFC efficiency <strong>and</strong> diesel<br />

price is that these factors are determining the price <strong>of</strong> the electricity<br />

generated for the electrical chiller.<br />

Pay Back Time vs. usage time fraction<br />

As long as the usage time fraction is above 30%, the investment seems to<br />

be quite beneficial (pay back time less than 3 years), but if the usage time<br />

fraction comes below 20%, the pay back time starts to increase quickly.<br />

So for a usage time fraction <strong>of</strong> 10%, the pay back time is just under 10<br />

years, which is far too long for many companies.<br />

23

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