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2000115-Strengthening-Communities-with-Neighborhood-Data

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Advances in Analytic Methods for <strong>Neighborhood</strong> <strong>Data</strong> 319<br />

governments, and community development practitioners better tailor<br />

and target their investments and interventions in neighborhoods.<br />

The project was conducted by RW Ventures, LLC, 1 in four cities (Chicago,<br />

Cleveland, Dallas, and Seattle) in partnership <strong>with</strong> numerous local<br />

and national organizations. The work was structured in four components:<br />

data collection on a wide variety of indicators, capturing the key dimensions<br />

of neighborhood change for every neighborhood in the four sample<br />

cities over at least 10 years; a descriptive analysis of how neighborhoods<br />

changed over this period; a series of regression models investigating the<br />

drivers of neighborhood change; and a typology of neighborhoods to<br />

enable investigating how patterns and drivers of change vary by neighborhood<br />

type.<br />

In order to measure neighborhood change, the DNT project sought to<br />

develop a metric that would capture how current and potential residents<br />

value a community. In economic terms, this evaluation is reflected in<br />

the demand for housing in a neighborhood, and it can be measured in<br />

changes in housing values once we control for changes in the quality of<br />

the housing stock. Controlling for quality is important because the price<br />

of a house reflects the qualities of the structure itself (size, construction<br />

quality, number of bathrooms, and so forth) in addition to the desirability<br />

of its location. By holding quality constant, it is possible to estimate<br />

the change in price that can be attributed to a change in the desirability<br />

of the neighborhood and its amenities, rather than to changes in the<br />

characteristics of the house.<br />

To measure quality-adjusted change in housing values, the DNT project<br />

developed a repeat sales index (which measures appreciation based on<br />

the repeated sales of the same house) at the census tract level. This index,<br />

which proved a powerful tool in and of itself, used a cutting-edge methodology<br />

to obtain reliable estimates of property appreciation at the census<br />

tract level while mirroring closely the reality of the housing market. 2<br />

In addition to changes in this repeat sales index, the project analyzed<br />

trends in median house prices as well as in the quantity of housing available<br />

in each census tract, in order to get a complete picture of the ways<br />

neighborhoods changed between 1990 and 2006.<br />

These three metrics (the DNT Repeat Sales Index, change in median<br />

housing values, and change in housing quantity) were also used as dependent<br />

variables in a series of regression models designed to estimate the<br />

effect of various types of neighborhood amenities (including such things<br />

as retail and services, access to transit, and development interventions

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