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WATERING THE NEIGHBOUR'S GARDEN: THE GROWING - CICRED

WATERING THE NEIGHBOUR'S GARDEN: THE GROWING - CICRED

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FACTORS INFLUENCING <strong>THE</strong> USE OF PRENATAL DIAGNOSTIC TECHNIQUES …<br />

This sex ratio is higher than the sex ratio of 108 for children of age 0-6<br />

years at the time of the census. As in India child mortality is higher for<br />

girls than boys, the child sex ratio should have been higher than the<br />

SRB. The discrepancy could be indicating either a rise in the SRB<br />

during the years preceding the census, or underreporting of female<br />

births that occurred during the year preceding the census, or greater<br />

exaggeration of age for boys than girls in the census. The foregoing<br />

analysis of child sex ratios by single years of age strongly supports the<br />

first possibility.<br />

The census data on children ever born show a steady rise in the<br />

SRB from 105 for women aged 15-19 to 113 for women aged 45-49 in<br />

2001. This is probably due to the failure of older women to report<br />

female children who died many years ago or who are married and<br />

living with their husbands. To minimize the effect of such recall errors,<br />

Table 2 shows the SRB implied by the data on children ever born to<br />

women age 20-34 years. In all, these women reported 238 million live<br />

births in their lifetime, with a SRB of 107. As these children were born<br />

on average 5-10 years before the survey, they would be indicating a<br />

SRB lower than that for the year preceding the census if the SRB has<br />

been rising.<br />

Interestingly, the data on births for the year preceding the census<br />

shows negligible rural-urban difference in the SRB, whereas data on<br />

children ever born shows, as expected, higher SRB in urban areas (108)<br />

than in rural areas (106). This may be indicating either that the ruralurban<br />

difference has disappeared in more recent years or that rural<br />

women have underreported more female births that occurred during<br />

the last year than urban women. But the analysis of child sex ratios by<br />

single years of age did not indicate a convergence of sex ratios in rural<br />

and urban areas. For example, the child sex ratio for the age group 0-2<br />

years in 2001 was 111 in urban areas compared with 108 in rural areas.<br />

The analysis of the increase in child sex ratios since 1981 by singleyears<br />

of age (similar to the one shown in Figure 1) showed that the<br />

SRB may have increased by eight percentage points in urban areas<br />

compared with five percentage points in rural areas. It is therefore<br />

likely that in the census data on current fertility, the underreporting of<br />

female births was more acute in rural areas than in urban areas.<br />

However, data on current as well as lifetime fertility show that the<br />

SRB increases with mother’s educational level. The data on births for<br />

the year preceding the census show that the SRB increases from 109<br />

for illiterate women to 115 for women who have completed matriculation.<br />

But those graduated from college have reported a SRB of 114.<br />

137

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