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WATERING THE NEIGHBOUR'S GARDEN: THE GROWING - CICRED

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SON PREFERENCE AND <strong>THE</strong> MARRIAGE SQUEEZE IN CHINA…<br />

Other measures can be derived analogously from the above three<br />

indices. In order to calculate the numbers of excess males, we develop<br />

three additional indices corresponding to R , R f 1 , and Rm1 denoted as<br />

M f 1 , and M m1 , and<br />

M ,<br />

M =<br />

60<br />

m,x x m,x ,1<br />

∑ Pi × SR2000 × F2000 −<br />

60<br />

f ,x f ,x ,1<br />

Pi × F2000<br />

x =14<br />

x =14<br />

∑ (4)<br />

M f 1 =<br />

60<br />

m,x x m,x<br />

∑ Pi × SR2000 × F2000 −<br />

60<br />

f ,x f ,x,1<br />

Pi × F2000<br />

x =14<br />

x=14<br />

∑ (5)<br />

M m1 =<br />

60<br />

m,x x m,x ,1<br />

∑ Pi × SR2000 × F2000 −<br />

60<br />

f ,x f ,x<br />

Pi × F2000<br />

x =14<br />

x =14<br />

∑ (6)<br />

In order to measure the proportions of the above excess males,<br />

we have another three corresponding indices P , P f 1 and Pm1 ,<br />

P =<br />

60<br />

60<br />

m,x x m,x ,1<br />

∑ Pi × SR2000 × F2000 − ∑ Pi<br />

x =14<br />

x=14<br />

60<br />

∑<br />

x =14<br />

Pi m,x x m,x,1<br />

× SR2000 × F2000<br />

P f 1 60<br />

60<br />

m,x x m,x<br />

∑ Pi × SR2000 × F2000 − ∑ Pi<br />

x =14<br />

=<br />

60<br />

x =14<br />

∑<br />

x =14<br />

m,x x m,x<br />

Pi × SR2000 × F2000<br />

P m1 60<br />

60<br />

m,x x m,x,1<br />

∑ Pi × SR2000 × F2000 − ∑ Pi<br />

x =14<br />

=<br />

60<br />

x =14<br />

2.2. Data<br />

∑<br />

x =14<br />

m,x x m,x,1<br />

Pi × SR2000 × F2000<br />

f ,x f ,x ,1<br />

× F2000<br />

= R −1<br />

f ,x f ,x,1<br />

× F2000<br />

f ,x f ,x<br />

× F2000<br />

R (7)<br />

= R f 1 −1<br />

R f 1 (8)<br />

= Rm1 −1<br />

R m1 (9)<br />

The data used in the chapter include: age-sex-specific first<br />

marriage frequencies in the baseline year 2000, age-sex-specific<br />

marriage frequencies of those who are first married or married to a<br />

first married spouse and the projected age-sex-specific population data<br />

for 2001–2050.<br />

353

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