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Prosecuting International Crimes in Africa - PULP - University of ...

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Politics <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational crim<strong>in</strong>al justice 151<br />

Sudanese Liberation Army/Movement (SLA) compris<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong> the Masalit,<br />

Fur and Zaghawa ethnic groups. A recent push towards a peaceful<br />

resolution <strong>of</strong> this conflict has seen the brokerage <strong>of</strong> a deal between the<br />

Khartoum government and Darfur’s largest rebel group, JEM. This truce<br />

and power-shar<strong>in</strong>g agreement was signed on 23 February 2010 <strong>in</strong> Doha,<br />

Qatar, by Sudan's President Al Bashir and JEM representation. From the<br />

forego<strong>in</strong>g it is apparent that Al Bashir is not only part <strong>of</strong> the problem <strong>in</strong><br />

Sudan’s seem<strong>in</strong>gly <strong>in</strong>tractable conflicts, but an <strong>in</strong>tegral part <strong>of</strong> the<br />

promulgated solutions that have so far facilitated some semblance <strong>of</strong><br />

stability.<br />

3.1.2 Conflict resolution theory and practice<br />

Conflict resolution theory has it that conflicts tend to escalate. The logical<br />

stages <strong>of</strong> their progression are <strong>of</strong>ten <strong>in</strong>dicated as follows: a discussion<br />

dialogue stage, where the parties may disagree but work together;<br />

polarisation, where parties distance themselves from each other;<br />

segregation, where parties move away from each other completely; and<br />

destruction, where there is all-out antagonism, <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g violence and war,<br />

among the parties. 20 An escalation <strong>of</strong> conflict may occur at any stage <strong>of</strong><br />

this exercise when actions are taken either by the parties or by an external<br />

party that has the effect <strong>of</strong> fatally alter<strong>in</strong>g one or more <strong>of</strong> the three pillars<br />

<strong>of</strong> conflict resolution as outl<strong>in</strong>ed by Wallensteen. Accord<strong>in</strong>g to<br />

Wallensteen, the basic elements <strong>of</strong> a conflict resolution exercise are: 21<br />

(a) An agreement, that is, a formal understand<strong>in</strong>g among the parties where a<br />

signed document is produced.<br />

(b) The cont<strong>in</strong>ued existence <strong>of</strong> the oppos<strong>in</strong>g parties, not a situation <strong>of</strong> defeat<br />

and w<strong>in</strong> or capitulation, but the fight<strong>in</strong>g parties accept each other also as<br />

parties <strong>in</strong> future deal<strong>in</strong>gs with one another.<br />

(c) The term<strong>in</strong>ation <strong>of</strong> violent actions aga<strong>in</strong>st each other where war ends<br />

fear and <strong>in</strong>security <strong>of</strong> persons <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>g former belligerents.<br />

A post-conflict situation follows the aforementioned stages and that is the<br />

situation <strong>in</strong> which Sudan f<strong>in</strong>ds itself s<strong>in</strong>ce the enactment <strong>of</strong> the CPA and<br />

the Darfur Agreement. This is a very uncerta<strong>in</strong> stage where a relapse <strong>in</strong>to<br />

violent conflict or war is a real possibility. Dur<strong>in</strong>g this phase, events known<br />

as conflict triggers may cause <strong>in</strong>tergroup relations to move away from<br />

relative accommodation to hostility and violence. 22 Conflict triggers can<br />

<strong>in</strong>clude provocative acts by political leaders, <strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>in</strong>stitutions,<br />

failed elections or violent upsurges such as riots. 23 This scheme <strong>of</strong> conflict<br />

20 P Harris and B Reilly (eds) Democracy and deep-rooted conflict: Options for negotiators<br />

(1998) 3.<br />

21 P Wallensteen Understand<strong>in</strong>g conflict resolution (2002) 16<br />

22 T Northrup ‘The dynamic <strong>of</strong> identity <strong>in</strong> personal and social conflict’ <strong>in</strong> L Kriesburg et al<br />

(eds) Intractable conflicts and their resolution (1989) 52.<br />

23 Northrup (as above).

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