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Shopper's Stop Limited - Securities and Exchange Board of India

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The different phases in growth <strong>of</strong> organised retail<br />

Growth<br />

Create<br />

awareness<br />

New retail entrants<br />

driving growth<br />

Increase customer Strengthening<br />

expectation back-end management<br />

Consumers dem<strong>and</strong>s<br />

organised formats<br />

First gear Second gear Third gear<br />

Fourth gear<br />

1995 2004 2007 2012<br />

41<br />

Retailers<br />

strengthening<br />

backend system<br />

Consolidation<br />

Retailers going<br />

global / M & A<br />

Source: KSA Technopak<br />

<strong>India</strong> is currently in the second phase <strong>of</strong> this evolution, with <strong>India</strong>n customers becoming more dem<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

with their rising st<strong>and</strong>ard <strong>of</strong> living <strong>and</strong> changing lifestyles. Change in customers’ focus from just buying to<br />

shopping (buying, entertainment <strong>and</strong> experience) has led to a pick up in momentum in organised formats<br />

<strong>of</strong> retailing.<br />

As the sector enters the third phase <strong>of</strong> evolution, supply chain management will attain top priority. Fierce<br />

competition will force retailers to quickly respond to changes in the market –bringing forth the importance<br />

<strong>of</strong> supply chain management in managing stock availability, supplier relationships, new value added<br />

services <strong>and</strong> cost cutting. Traditional retailers are expected to enhance their investments in supply chain,<br />

whilst new entrants are likely to look at supply chain first before rolling out their national reach.<br />

Drivers for Retail Transformation in <strong>India</strong><br />

Quality real estate<br />

Availability <strong>of</strong> quality retail space has been one <strong>of</strong> the main constraints for development <strong>of</strong> organized<br />

formats in <strong>India</strong>. In the past, negative yield on leased property, lack <strong>of</strong> bank funding due to unorganized<br />

property market resulted in a dearth <strong>of</strong> quality retail space in the country.<br />

The spread between yield on property <strong>and</strong> its financing cost has turned positive with the fall in interest<br />

rates. Attractive yields on investments have resulted in sharp increase in property development.<br />

From 25 operational malls in 2003, the country is expecting to have over 220 malls by 2006 with a<br />

cumulative estimated space <strong>of</strong> 40 mn sq. ft. (source: Images Retail) <strong>and</strong> over 600 malls by 2010 giving a<br />

cumulative estimated retail space <strong>of</strong> as much as 100 Million sq. ft. (source: KSA Technopak). While there<br />

may be temporary mismatches, we believe that the supply would be comfortably absorbed by the<br />

requirements <strong>of</strong> organised retail players.<br />

KSA Technopak estimates that the increase in availability <strong>of</strong> quality, modern retail space is likely to lead<br />

to a reduction in overall occupancy costs for retailers over the next 3-5 years <strong>and</strong> will also facilitate their<br />

rapid expansion. The malls are also likely to see consumer traffic moving to them from existing high<br />

streets <strong>and</strong> thereby assist in more customers for the stores operating in these malls.

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