47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...
47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...
47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...
You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles
YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.
<strong>Pakistan</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Survey</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong>2– 11 th May 20<strong>12</strong> on account of ris<strong>in</strong>g subsidy oncommodities, public sector enterprises' losses andless than target revenue collection. Governmentborrow<strong>in</strong>gfor budgetary support alone stood at Rs1,084.4 billion as compared to Rs. 603.3 billion<strong>in</strong>the same period of the last year. TheSBP f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>ghas <strong>in</strong>creased to Rs. 442.3 billion as comparedtoFigure 5.2: Government Borrow<strong>in</strong>gsRs. 217.7 billion. F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g fromscheduled bankswitnessed a net <strong>in</strong>crease of Rs. 642.1 billion dur<strong>in</strong>gthe period under review aga<strong>in</strong>stRs. 385.6 billionlast year. Non-bank and external f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g forbudgetarysupportwas less than expected,compell<strong>in</strong>g the government to borrow fromtheSBP and scheduled banks.800.00600.00500.0From SBPRs. Billion400.00200.000.00350.0200.0From Scheduled banksTotal borrow<strong>in</strong>gs-200.002007‐082008‐09 2009‐10 2010‐11 July‐14Mayy July‐ 11May<strong>2011</strong> 20<strong>12</strong>50.0The heavyreliance onthe borrow<strong>in</strong>g requirementof the government from the bank<strong>in</strong>g system hasalso led to the sluggish growth <strong>in</strong> the privatesector, under the crowd<strong>in</strong>g out effect. Accord<strong>in</strong>gtothe recent SBP Amendment Act, 20<strong>12</strong>, thegovernment borrow<strong>in</strong>gfrom the SBP is requiredtobe repaidat the endof each quarter and theexist<strong>in</strong>g stock is to be retired with<strong>in</strong>eight years.Commodity F<strong>in</strong>anceCommodity f<strong>in</strong>ance aims to provide short termadvances either to thegovernment, public sectorcorporations or privatesector for the procurementof the commodities such as cotton, wheat, rice,sugar andfertilizer.Dur<strong>in</strong>g July – 11 th May20<strong>12</strong>, loansfor commodityf<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g registered a net retirement of Rs. 81.6billion aga<strong>in</strong>st the retirement of Rs. 101.1 billion<strong>in</strong>the sameperiod of fiscal year 2010-11. Theretirementt was primarily concentrated <strong>in</strong> thesecond quarter of fiscal year 20<strong>12</strong> as thegovernment released Rs. 78 billion to procurementagencies for the settlement of accumulatedsubsidies. On 11 th May, 20<strong>12</strong> the stock ofgovernment borrow<strong>in</strong>gs for commodity operationsstood at Rs 315.9 billion (Figure 5.3).Rs BillionFigure 5.3: Commodity F<strong>in</strong>ance450400350300250200150100500The government procurement target is 7.72 milliontons (MT) of wheat this year, andthe supportpricehas been raised toRs. 1050 per 40 kg for theforthcom<strong>in</strong>g wheat crop. Additionally, decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>ternationalwheat prices has reduceddthe<strong>in</strong>centive for its export by the private sector.Therefore, a considerable rise <strong>in</strong> the creditrequirement for wheat procurement is expecteddur<strong>in</strong>g the rest of the months of current fiscal year<strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong>.68