<strong>Pakistan</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Survey</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong>started to decl<strong>in</strong>e gradually and stood at 37.1 percent <strong>in</strong> 2010-11. Dur<strong>in</strong>g July —May 20<strong>12</strong> M2 to GDP ratio hasdecl<strong>in</strong>ed further to 34.9 percent as compared to 35 percent <strong>in</strong> the same period last year on account of the pressure tothe liquidity profile of the f<strong>in</strong>ancial markets ma<strong>in</strong>ly due to the ris<strong>in</strong>g government’s borrow<strong>in</strong>g needs. On the otherhand another significant ratio DD + TD/M2, which represents monetary depth, has also shown the decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g trends<strong>in</strong>ce 2004-05 by decreas<strong>in</strong>g from 77.6 percent to 71.8 percent <strong>in</strong> 2010-11. This is the period when the monetarypolicy stance changed from accommodat<strong>in</strong>g to tighten<strong>in</strong>g. However, reduced policy rate by 200 bps to <strong>12</strong> percentdur<strong>in</strong>g the current fiscal year <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong>, resulted <strong>in</strong> a slight <strong>in</strong>crease of 70.1 percent dur<strong>in</strong>g July <strong>2011</strong>—May 20<strong>12</strong>from 70 percent dur<strong>in</strong>g the same period last year.In an effort to improve f<strong>in</strong>ancial deepen<strong>in</strong>g and competition <strong>in</strong> the bank<strong>in</strong>g system, SBP is already encourag<strong>in</strong>gdepositors to put their sav<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> government securities through Investor’s Portfolio Securities (IPS) accounts whichmay lead to better returns on deposits over time. Moreover, <strong>in</strong> May 2008, SBP <strong>in</strong>troduced a m<strong>in</strong>imum percent flooron all categories of Sav<strong>in</strong>gs/PLS Sav<strong>in</strong>g Products. Consequently, average deposit rate of all sav<strong>in</strong>g related products<strong>in</strong>creased from 2.1 percent to 5.25 percent, with no significant change thereafter. The sav<strong>in</strong>g deposits category nowaccount for 38 percent of all bank deposits and 52 percent of total number of deposit accounts. 1Islamic Bank<strong>in</strong>gThe Islamic bank<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>in</strong> <strong>Pakistan</strong> hasma<strong>in</strong>ta<strong>in</strong>ed a strong and susta<strong>in</strong>able growthTable 5.<strong>12</strong>: Islamic Banksmomentum <strong>in</strong> the wake of fragile economicconditions. Over the past six years it has witnessedan average growth of 30 percent.Rs. BillionCY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 Dec-10 Dec-11Assets of the Islamic banks 71.5 119.3 205.9 276.0 366.3 477.0 641.0Deposits of the Islamic Banks 49.9 83.7 1<strong>47.</strong>4 201.6 282.6 390.1 521.0Share <strong>in</strong> Banks Assets 1.95% 2.79% 3.98% 4.90% 5.60% 6.68% 7.80%Share <strong>in</strong> Bank Deposits 1.75% 2.62% 3.82% 4.78% 5.90% 7.16% 8.40%Source: Islamic Bank<strong>in</strong>g Department, State Bank of <strong>Pakistan</strong>*Provisional dataThe asset base of the <strong>in</strong>dustry reached Rs. 641billion reflect<strong>in</strong>g 34 percent Year to year (YOY)growth, while the share <strong>in</strong> bank assets <strong>in</strong>creased to7.8 percent from 6.7 percent dur<strong>in</strong>g the periodunder review. The growth <strong>in</strong> assets is ma<strong>in</strong>lyattributed to f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g and <strong>in</strong>vestment that togethergrew by 40 percent year to year basis. On the otherhand deposits reached to Rs. 521 billion depict<strong>in</strong>gYOY growth of 34 percent by end of Dec <strong>2011</strong>.Thus it contributed 8.4 percent <strong>in</strong> banks depositsaga<strong>in</strong>st 7.2 percent <strong>in</strong> Dec 2010. Similarlyoperat<strong>in</strong>g performance <strong>in</strong>dicators also witnessedencourag<strong>in</strong>g performance <strong>in</strong> <strong>2011</strong>, as nonperform<strong>in</strong>gf<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g (NPFs) decl<strong>in</strong>ed while returnon assets (ROA) and return on equity (ROE) bothrema<strong>in</strong>ed higher than that of overall bank<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>dustry average.The breakup of f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> CY11 <strong>in</strong>dicates thatMurabaha dom<strong>in</strong>ates followed by Dim<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>gMusharaka and Ijara with all other modesconstitut<strong>in</strong>g a relatively small share.Microf<strong>in</strong>anceThe Government of <strong>Pakistan</strong> and the SBP rema<strong>in</strong>committed to promot<strong>in</strong>g microf<strong>in</strong>ance as a longterm strategy to broaden access to f<strong>in</strong>ancialservices by the low <strong>in</strong>come segments, thusimprov<strong>in</strong>g their livelihood and <strong>in</strong>come generat<strong>in</strong>gopportunities.1 Monetary Policy statement, April, <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong>76
Money and CreditTable 5.13: F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g Products by Islamic banks%ageMode of F<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g CY05 CY06 CY07 CY08 CY09 CY10 CY11Murabaha 44.4 48.4 44.5 36.5 42.3 44.9 43.8Ijara 29.7 29.7 24.0 22.1 14.2 <strong>12</strong>.7 10.4Musharaka 0.5 0.8 1.6 2.1 1.8 2.9 2.4Mudaraba 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.1Dim<strong>in</strong>ish<strong>in</strong>g Muskaraka <strong>12</strong>.8 14.8 25.6 28.9 30.4 29.5 32.0Salam 0.6 1.9 1.4 1.8 1.2 1.4 2.4Istisna 1.4 1.4 1.0 2.9 6.1 5.8 4.4Others <strong>12</strong>.1 3.0 1.6 5.4 3.6 2.6 4.4Source : State Bank of <strong>Pakistan</strong>The overall microf<strong>in</strong>ance sector witnessed loanportfolio growth of 13 percent over the year. Itsgross loan portfolio stood at Rs. 28.84 billion asthe quarter ended <strong>in</strong> December <strong>2011</strong> with 2.07million active borrowers. On the deposit side, thenumber of depositors of Micro F<strong>in</strong>ance Banks(MFBS) <strong>in</strong>creased to 1.44 million with a depositbase of Rs. 13.6 billion as of March 31, 20<strong>12</strong>.The overall performance of the sector rema<strong>in</strong>edpositive <strong>in</strong> spite of the various challenges <strong>in</strong>clud<strong>in</strong>gthe heavy floods/ra<strong>in</strong>s that adversely affectedvarious parts of the country especially S<strong>in</strong>dh, forthe second consecutive year. The loan portfoliogrowth is attributable to the recent microf<strong>in</strong>ancesector strategy that stresses the need formicrof<strong>in</strong>ance providers to diversify portfolio <strong>in</strong>different economic and geographic segments. TheNPLs of microf<strong>in</strong>ance banks have also dropped totwo (2) percent as the quarter ended <strong>in</strong> March 20<strong>12</strong>aga<strong>in</strong>st 5.29 percent <strong>in</strong> March <strong>2011</strong> depict<strong>in</strong>geffectiveness of the credit process. The sector wasable to expand its retail network to 1,739 bus<strong>in</strong>esslocations across the country.Table 5.14: Microf<strong>in</strong>ance Industry IndicatorsYear InstitutionGross loan AverageNumber Number of Total No. ofTotal No. of Depositsportfolio Loan Sizeof MFBs Branches BorrowersDepositors(Rs. In '000) (Rs)(Rs. In '000)Dec-08 MFBs 7 271 542,641 6,461,462 11,907 254,381 4,115,667MFIs 20 1,186 1,190,238 11,952,000 14,940 - -Total 27 1,457 1,732,879 18,413,462 10,626 254,381 4,115,667Dec-09 MFBs 8 284 703,044 9,004,000 13,576 459,024 7,099,206MFIs 21 1,159 1,<strong>12</strong>3,001 <strong>12</strong>,719,000 11,326 - -Total 29 1,443 1,826,045 21,723,000 <strong>12</strong>,131 459,024 7,099,206Dec-10 MFBs 8 284 717,141 10,528,000 20,151 780,294 10,289,000MFIs 21 1,252 1,342,395 14,966,000 17,180 - -Total 29 1,536 2,059,536 25,494,000 18,385 780,294 10,289,000Dec-11 MFBs 9 303 733,931 14,650,000 19,691 1,362,202 13,927,066MFIs 23 1,436 1,339,140 14,195,000 10,600 - -Total 32 1,739 2,073,071 28,845,000 13,914 1,362,202 13,927,066Source: State Bank of <strong>Pakistan</strong>Microf<strong>in</strong>ance Policy InitiativesThe policy framework for microf<strong>in</strong>ance hasevolved <strong>in</strong> tandem with sector growth. Itencourages private sector participation bysupport<strong>in</strong>g a multi-<strong>in</strong>stitutional approach. Theregulatory <strong>in</strong>structions are developed <strong>in</strong> view ofthe present market situation and MFBs’preparedness allow<strong>in</strong>g adequate room for further<strong>in</strong>novation and market development. Dur<strong>in</strong>g thepast two consecutive years <strong>Pakistan</strong> was globallyranked first by the ”Economist Intelligence Unit”(EIU) of the Economist magaz<strong>in</strong>e, <strong>in</strong> terms of77
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Special SectionPakistan: Flood Impa
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Age Composition of PopulationThe ag
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Chapter 14EnergyEnergy is considere
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