47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...

Pakistan: Flood Impact AssessmentHealthThe floods caused by heavy rains in 2011 resultedin damage to the public health infrastructure inSindh and Balochistan provinces. Basic healthunits and rural health centers suffered the mostdamage; accounting for 74 (52 percent) of the total141 damaged facilities. In Sindh, of the total of708 health facilities of various categories in the 11districts where health sector facilities wereaffected, 113 (16 percent) were damaged out ofwhich 28 (4 percent) were fully damaged, and 85(12 percent) were partially damaged. InBalochistan, of the total of 193 health facilities inthe 3 affected districts, 28 (15 percent) weredamaged out of which 13 (7 percent) were fullydamaged and 15 (8 percent) were partiallydamaged. The damage caused to the health sectorin Sindh province constitutes 7 percent of its totalhealth facilities (1,486). In Balochistan; 1 percentof the total health facilities (2,075) were damaged.The total damage to this sector is estimated atRs.1,258 million (US $ 14.3 million). Out ofwhich, the direct losses for all health facilities wascalculated as Rs. 431.85 million (US$4.9 million)[Sindh: Rs. 404.85 million (US$4.6 million) andBalochistan Rs. 27 million (US$0.3 million).Onthe other hand, there is no data available forcalculating the indirect losses. However, theestimated amount required to meet short-termneeds has been taken as proxy of indirect lossesi.e., Rs. 826 million (US$9.4 million). The totalcost of reconstruction for this sector is estimated atRs. 863.7 million (US $ 9.8 million) for the fullyand partially damaged health facilities.EducationThe total number of educational institutionsaffected by the floods is 4,096 (Sindh: 3,892;Balochistan: 204). The damaged institutions are6.7 percent of the total institutions in the affecteddistricts in the two provinces. In Sindh, 1,032schools for females are damaged (385 are fullydamaged and 647 are partially damaged) or 26.5percent of the total of 3,892 damaged schools, anda total of 2,860 schools for males are damaged(1,022 are fully damaged and 1,838 are partiallydamaged). This means that 73.5 percent of the totalof 3,892 damaged are male schools. InBalochistan, 51 damaged schools are femalesschools (3 are fully damaged and 48 are partiallydamaged).These make up 25 percent of the total of204 damaged schools, while the 153 damagedschools for males (17 are fully damaged and 136are partially damaged) make up 75 percent of thetotal of 204 damaged schools.The total damage and loss in both the provinces isestimated at Rs. 12,013 million including indirectloss of Rs. 1,856 million and direct loss ofRs.10,157 million. In Sindh, total damage and lossis estimated at Rs. 11,751 million includingindirect loss of Rs 1,771 million and direct loss ofRs. 9,980 million. In Balochistan, indirect anddirect losses are Rs. 85.1 million and Rs. 177.1million respectively. The total cost ofreconstruction to this sector for all the damagedinstitutions in Sindh and Balochistan is estimatedat Rs.22,589 million.Agriculture, Livestock, and FisheriesAgriculture is a key sector of Pakistan‘s economyand accounts for 21 percent of GDP, 45 percent ofemployment and 60 percent of exports. Sindh has30 percent and Balochistan 8 percent share in thenational agricultural GDP. The livelihood of morethan 60 percent of the total population is directly orindirectly dependent on agriculture sector.Furthermore, the agriculture sector has strongbackward and forward linkages and as a result hasa large impact on the overall economicperformance. The sector’s performance has beenweak over the last few years recording a growth ofaround 2 percent per year, mainly due to poorperformance of the crop subsector. Theperformance of the livestock subsector hasremained healthy and its share in agriculture GDPhas surpassed the crop sector standing at around 55percent. Due to limited rainfall, less than 240 mmin an average year, crop production is dependenton irrigation and more than 80 percent of land isirrigated. There are two main cropping seasons,namely, Kharif (summer) and Rabi (winter). TheKharif season starts in April and ends in October,and the main crops during this season are cotton,rice, sugarcane, maize, pulses, fruits andvegetables. The Rabi season, which starts inOctober and ends in April, is dominated by wheatproduction which is the main staple food in249