47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...
47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...
47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...
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<strong>Pakistan</strong> <strong>Economic</strong> <strong>Survey</strong> <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong>(246,000), Shaheed Benazirabad (201,000), Dadu(186,000), Umerkot (171, 000), Khairpur(161,000), and Hyderabad (140,000).The civil adm<strong>in</strong>istration <strong>in</strong> S<strong>in</strong>dh suffered heaviestdamage to its facilities. A total of 257 build<strong>in</strong>gswere reported to have been partially damaged and86 as completely destroyed. Partial damage to 11Prison and 71 Police facilities and completedamage to 3 Prison and 66 Police build<strong>in</strong>gs havebeen reported. Additionally, 14 court build<strong>in</strong>gshave been partially damaged and 10 have beenreported as completely destroyed along with 21Auqaf build<strong>in</strong>gs which are reported as completelydamaged and 10 as partially damaged. NADRA,Post Offices and other governance <strong>in</strong>stitutionsshared the rema<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g disaster damage.Table-9: Government <strong>in</strong>frastructure, Damage and Loss(Rs. <strong>in</strong> million)Prov<strong>in</strong>ces Direct damage Indirect Damage TotalS<strong>in</strong>dh 1,555.83 369.23 1,925.06Balochistan 15.61 <strong>12</strong>.65 28.26Total 1,571.44 381.88 1,953.32Source: World Bank and Asian Development Bank (ADB) Damages and Needs Assessment Report <strong>2011</strong>In case of governance <strong>in</strong>stitutions service andproductivity losses create complex issues.Disruption of services or functions and <strong>in</strong>ability torespond to much bigger demand can and doimpede relief and reconstruction. States of rule oflaw, justice, security, property and citizenshiprecords and management capacities of publicaccount<strong>in</strong>g and local level public managementbecome exposed to risk of deterioration because ofdamage and serious <strong>in</strong>adequacy <strong>in</strong> the face ofmuch higher volume of work demanded byrecovery and reconstruction needs. Disruption ofgovernance services and functions affect thecondition of the population already suffer<strong>in</strong>g fromthe direct effects of the disaster. The economic lossto the population is complex to estimate as itwould <strong>in</strong>volve estimat<strong>in</strong>g economic value ofsecurity, justice and protection. Indirect loss togovernance <strong>in</strong>stitutions is estimated on notionalcosts of cont<strong>in</strong>ued services and functions despiteloss to their facilities, records and reduced staffproductivity/availability <strong>in</strong> the damagequantification.The value of reconstruction needs is based on thecurrent government notified rates for contractors. Itwas challeng<strong>in</strong>g to gather <strong>in</strong>formation <strong>in</strong> precisecategories on the types of construction required,pre-flood condition and the nature of damages.Consequently, suitable assumptions and broadclassifications had to be used. In order to improveaccuracy of the estimates- statistically andfactually- sound assumptions have been used.Computations have been made <strong>in</strong> spreadsheet withstated assumptions, criteria and parameters clearlyidentified.Table-10: Recovery and Reconstruction Needs Assessment Summary(Rs. <strong>in</strong> Million)Prov<strong>in</strong>ceReconstruction andRehabilitation/Repair costsCapacity Build<strong>in</strong>gTotalS<strong>in</strong>dh 4,716.113 <strong>12</strong>.580 4,728.693Balochistan 36.572 3.700 40.272Total 4,752.685 16.280 4,768.965Source: World Bank and Asian Development Bank (ADB) Damage and Needs Assessment Report <strong>2011</strong>Irrigation and Flood ManagementS<strong>in</strong>dh’s agriculture accounts for 17.4 percent of theprov<strong>in</strong>cial GDP and 50 percent of the employment.The S<strong>in</strong>dh irrigation system consists of Guddu,Sukkur and Kotri Barrages on the Indus River.These barrages divert water <strong>in</strong>to fifteen canals -four at Guddu, seven at Sukkur and four at KotriBarrage command<strong>in</strong>g 2.5 million ha. A total of2,240 km of dra<strong>in</strong>s and 5,835 tube wellscomplement the irrigation system. In Balochistanonly about 767,<strong>12</strong>0 ha land <strong>in</strong> 3 out of the 26districts is irrigated by Indus Bas<strong>in</strong> Irrigation256