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47. Pakistan Economic Survey 2011-12 - Consultancy Services in ...

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Trade and Paymentsconcentration is on cont<strong>in</strong>uous decl<strong>in</strong>e s<strong>in</strong>ce 2005-06 and recently the share of these five marketstood at 35.2 percent whereas the share of all othercountries <strong>in</strong>creased to 64.8 dur<strong>in</strong>g July-March<strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong> compared to 52.8 percent share dur<strong>in</strong>g2005-06. This improvement <strong>in</strong> geographicaldiversification was ma<strong>in</strong>ly the result of theStrategic Trade Policy Framework (STPF-2009-<strong>12</strong>) <strong>in</strong>troduced by the government and the result<strong>in</strong>g<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> exports to Ch<strong>in</strong>a, Afghanistan andBangladesh.Table 8.5: Major Exports Markets(Percentage Share)Jul-MarCountry 05-06 06-07 07-08 08-09 09-10 10-1110-11 11-<strong>12</strong>*USA 25.5 24.6 19.5 18.9 17.4 16.0 15.9 14.7UK 5.4 5.6 5.4 4.9 5.3 4.9 5.0 5.1Germany 4.2 4.1 4.3 4.2 4.1 5.1 5.0 4.8Honk Kong 4.1 3.9 2.7 2.1 2.2 2.0 2.2 1.6U.A.E. 8.0 8.2 10.9 8.2 8.9 7.3 7.3 9.0Sub-Total <strong>47.</strong>2 46.4 42.8 38.3 37.9 35.3 35.4 35.2Other Countries 52.8 53.6 57.2 61.7 62.1 64.7 64.6 64.8Total 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0Source: <strong>Pakistan</strong> Bureau of Statistics*ProvisionalImportsStructure of imports <strong>in</strong>dicates that food groupimports accounted for 11.4 percent of total importsand showed a negative growth rate of 1.7 percentdur<strong>in</strong>g July-April <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong> compared to last year.This fall <strong>in</strong> the overall food import bill is the resultof a decl<strong>in</strong>e <strong>in</strong> the quantity of imports of most ofthe food items despite the <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the unitvalues of food group items.With<strong>in</strong> food group imports, the major contributioncame from sugar as its import bill decl<strong>in</strong>ed by $665.0 million <strong>in</strong> absolute terms dur<strong>in</strong>g July-April<strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong> compared to the same period last year.This fall <strong>in</strong> sugar imports came on the back ofimproved sugar production domestically due tohigher crop production of sugarcane dur<strong>in</strong>g thefiscal year under review. Moreover, the import billof spices and pulses also witnessed a fall dur<strong>in</strong>gthe period.The import bill for edible oil <strong>in</strong>creased by 16.5percent and has added $ 273 million to this year’simport bill. Palm oil imports surged <strong>in</strong> quantity,value and per unit value as it <strong>in</strong>creased by 5.1percent, 18.3 percent and <strong>12</strong>.5 percent,respectively. The higher import bill of palm oil isthe result of higher <strong>in</strong>ternational prices and higherdomestic demand dur<strong>in</strong>g the period, result<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong> an<strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> the palm oil import bill <strong>in</strong> absoluteterms by $ 292 million. In addition, the import billfor tea dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong> also <strong>in</strong>creased by 4.8percent on the back of higher import prices dur<strong>in</strong>gthe period.% ageFig-8.8: Sources of Change <strong>in</strong>Petroleum Imports (Jul-Apr <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong>)9080706050403020100Source: PBSPrice EffectQuantity EffectThe Import of petroleum group products grew by43.5 percent dur<strong>in</strong>g July-April <strong>2011</strong>-<strong>12</strong> aga<strong>in</strong>st the8.4 percent growth <strong>in</strong> the correspond<strong>in</strong>g period lastyear reflect<strong>in</strong>g ma<strong>in</strong>ly the impact of higher<strong>in</strong>ternational oil prices s<strong>in</strong>ce per unit values of119

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