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POLLINATORS POLLINATION AND FOOD PRODUCTION

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THE ASSESSMENT REPORT ON <strong>POLLINATORS</strong>, <strong>POLLINATION</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FOOD</strong> <strong>PRODUCTION</strong><br />

166<br />

3. THE STATUS <strong>AND</strong> TRENDS IN <strong>POLLINATORS</strong><br />

<strong>AND</strong> <strong>POLLINATION</strong><br />

number of colonies at any one point in time) and annual<br />

rates of colony mortality (the proportion of colonies that<br />

die in one year). Indeed, rates of colony mortality have<br />

recently been reported to be much higher than the usual<br />

rate of ca. 10%, and up to 30% or more since the winter<br />

of 2006-to-2007 in some parts of the temperate Northern<br />

Hemisphere (Oldroyd, 2007; see Chapter 2, sections 2.5<br />

and 2.6), and may be equally high in South Africa (Pirk et<br />

al., 2014). Information from the FAO database nevertheless<br />

suggests an increasing world number of managed colonies<br />

of honey bees (Figure 3.2B), a trend driven by Asia (Aizen<br />

and Harder, 2009b, Barron, 2015, see Chapter 2, Figure<br />

3.3), with a current world stock of greater than 81 million<br />

hives, each comprising 10,000-40,000 or more worker<br />

honey bees (Figure 3.2B). Within this global increase in<br />

stock, some countries have suffered declines whereas<br />

others have seen growths (Figure 3.3, Aizen and Harder,<br />

2009b, Potts et al., 2010a, b, Smith et al., 2013). Even<br />

neighbouring countries (e.g., the USA and Canada) may<br />

exhibit contrasting growth rates in the stock of honey-bee<br />

hives (Figure 3.4).<br />

This overall pattern of increasing numbers of honey bee<br />

colonies worldwide is rather robust and may reflect an<br />

increasing market value of honey and of honey bee colonies<br />

as pollination ‘units’, though not withstanding regional<br />

trends global honey production has consequently increased<br />

with the number of colonies to ca. 1.6 million tonnes<br />

annually in 2013, though the risk of a drop in production<br />

varies widely across the world (Chapter 6, Table 6.2.2).<br />

FIGURE 3.3<br />

Some developed countries in the temperate Northern<br />

Hemisphere have witnessed an on-going decrease in colony<br />

numbers since the 2 nd World War (Figure 3.3, Aizen and<br />

Harder, 2009a), possibly a consequence of societal changes<br />

(e.g. increasing wealth, collapse of communism; see Moritz<br />

et al., 2010, vanEngelsdorp and Meixner, 2010, Smith et<br />

al., 2013), intensification of land use, and emerging pests<br />

and diseases (see Chapter 2, sections 2.5.1 and 2.6).<br />

Indeed, wild (where they are native) and feral (where they<br />

are introduced) A. mellifera have almost disappeared from<br />

the temperate Northern Hemisphere (Jaffé et al., 2010).<br />

However, socioeconomic factors affecting the honey market<br />

seem to be the primary cause for long-term trends in the<br />

growth in the number of honey-bee hives (Aizen and Harder,<br />

2009b). For instance, countries exhibiting negative growth<br />

rates in the number of hives can exhibit positive rates in<br />

honey production (e.g., Germany, France; Figure 3.4),<br />

which is inconsistent with a scenario of declines in the stock<br />

of honey-bee hives being driven by disease. Furthermore,<br />

there has been an increasing global trend in honey<br />

production per hive over the last five decades, so that today<br />

an average hive produces approximately 50% more honey<br />

than 50 years ago (Aizen and Harder, 2009a).<br />

Genomic analyses indicate that managed honey bees have<br />

not suffered from a reduction in genetic diversity, either<br />

where they are native in Europe (Wallberg et al., 2014) or<br />

where they have been introduced to North America (Harpur<br />

et al., 2012). These introductions have also affected other<br />

honey bee species; for example, in South Korea, A. cerana<br />

Number of managed colonies of Apis mellifera in selected countries, showing overall losses in some countries and gains in others<br />

(from Aizen and Harder, 2009a, Suppl. Materials).<br />

∆ number of hives (%)<br />

20<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

USSR<br />

20<br />

USA<br />

Germany<br />

y 1961<br />

= 10,250,000 hives y 1961<br />

= 5,514,000 hives y 1961<br />

= 1,997,000 hives<br />

0<br />

0<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

20<br />

-20<br />

-40<br />

-60<br />

-80<br />

-80<br />

-80<br />

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010<br />

400<br />

China<br />

400<br />

Argentina<br />

400<br />

Spain<br />

∆ number of hives (%)<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

y 1961<br />

= 3,356,000 hives<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

y 1961<br />

= 650,000 hives<br />

300<br />

200<br />

100<br />

0<br />

y 1961<br />

= 728,100 hives<br />

-100<br />

-100<br />

-100<br />

1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010

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