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POLLINATORS POLLINATION AND FOOD PRODUCTION

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THE ASSESSMENT REPORT ON <strong>POLLINATORS</strong>, <strong>POLLINATION</strong> <strong>AND</strong> <strong>FOOD</strong> <strong>PRODUCTION</strong><br />

232<br />

4. ECONOMIC VALUATION OF POLLINATOR GAINS<br />

<strong>AND</strong> LOSSES<br />

3.2.2.4 Availability of long-term data sets<br />

Good estimates of pollination value to consumer and<br />

producer welfare depend on the availability of several<br />

biological and economic data (see Section 2.4.). These<br />

databases are seldom consistent for long periods. There<br />

is also a strong interaction between temporal and spatial<br />

scales at this case, with better temporal resolution (i.e.,<br />

data collected at shorter time intervals) at medium scales<br />

(national). Geographic bias is strong, with great variation<br />

in the availability of long-term national and sub-national<br />

data between countries (Lautenbach et al., 2012). At the<br />

global and national scales, most estimates used crop<br />

production, cultivated area, prices and beehive number,<br />

among others, provided by the Food and Agriculture<br />

Organization (FAO) of the United Nations over the last five<br />

decades (e.g., FAOSTAT, 2007; http://www.fao.org). For<br />

some variables, data is not available for all consecutive<br />

years for all countries, demanding statistical procedures<br />

to estimate values for specific periods (Leonhardt et al.,<br />

2013) or assuming that introduced biases are consistent<br />

in time and space (Lautenbach et al., 2012). At the subnational<br />

level (i.e., within-country variations), the level of<br />

detail on data collection and availability in FAO databases<br />

differs substantially among countries. For example, the USA<br />

provides spatially structured data on yield whereas Germany<br />

reports yield data in highly aggregated formats (Lautenbach<br />

et al., 2012). In addition, FAO data on production prices are<br />

subdivided in two datasets, from 1966 to 1990 and from<br />

1991-2009, which are not directly comparable (Leonhardt et<br />

al., 2013).<br />

Long-term biological data is also difficult to obtain, since it<br />

involves many different species of pollinators and variables<br />

that are prone to temporal and spatial variations. Usually,<br />

variables such as the amount of pollen deposited by each<br />

pollinator species and the fraction of flowers each of them<br />

fully pollinate are quantified without temporal replicates. In<br />

a recent review, Melathopoulos et al. (2015) indicated the<br />

high level of uncertainty about the pollination dependency<br />

coefficients for the 10 crops with the highest aggregate<br />

benefits of pollination services. Such biological data are not<br />

available in public databases aggregating multiple countries<br />

or regions but are usually scattered on published documents<br />

regarding each specific crop at local scale (see Bommarco<br />

et al., 2012). In a recent review, Vanbergen et al. (2012)<br />

presented a list of major gaps in knowledge and research<br />

priorities to demonstrate how pollination functions differ<br />

across species and crops. Many of their recommendations<br />

include obtaining temporally replicated biological data that<br />

are important for valuation, with systematic monitoring<br />

of pollinator diversity, abundance and efficiency. This is<br />

especially necessary for those crop types with very limited<br />

knowledge and high economic importance. A summary of<br />

the most important data limitations and needs for valuing<br />

pollination services at different scales is given in Table 4.6<br />

(see also: Sections 2 and 5.3).<br />

3.2.3 Tools<br />

3.2.3.1 Time series analysis<br />

TABLE 4.6<br />

Main data needs for more precise economic valuation of pollination services across scales<br />

Excludable<br />

The term “time series” is generally used to refer to a<br />

non-random temporal sequence of values of a variable,<br />

ordered at successive and regular time intervals (Tsay, 2002;<br />

Montgomery et al., 2008). Time series analysis implies that<br />

Non excludable<br />

Local/national Non-market or non-monetary food consumption - Production for own consumption or direct trade for goods<br />

and services;<br />

- Harvesting of wild fruits and honey<br />

Local/national Production and consumption in the secondary market - Quantity and sale prices on the secondary markets<br />

Local/national Price responses to changes in supply of particular crops - Information on consumer preferences;<br />

- Crop substitution elasticities.<br />

Local/national Management of pollinators - Number of beekeepers and beehives for own production<br />

and rental;<br />

- Type and extension of crops that use managed pollinators<br />

Local/national Seasonal variations in production and prices - Intra-annual data on production and prices<br />

National/global<br />

Standardized databases (National- among regions/<br />

states/provinces; Global – among countries)<br />

- Standard procedures for data collection (i.e., minimum<br />

crop area considered for inclusion, area/volume units,<br />

cultivars)<br />

National/global Distortion in market prices due to taxes or subsidies - Official information on subsidies and taxes<br />

Local/national/global<br />

Local/national/global<br />

Precise estimation of pollinator dependency is not<br />

available for several crops<br />

Decrease in agricultural value in the case of<br />

pollination failure<br />

- Pollination biology for different crops and cultivars<br />

replicated through time and space<br />

- Frequency of different types of decisions of farmers and<br />

consumers responding to changes in supply<br />

Local/national/global Pollination impacts on fruit quality - Quantification pollination effects on fruit visual<br />

appearance, palatability or nutritional composition

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