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Pierre André Chiappori (Columbia) "Family Economics" - Cemmap

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244 6. Uncertainty and Dynamics in the Collective model<br />

least in the ex ante sense. 1<br />

The theoretical analysis underpinning these issues leads to fascinating<br />

empirical questions. Again, these can be formulated in terms of testability<br />

and identifiability. When, and how, is it possible to test the assumption of<br />

perfect commitment, and more generally of ex ante efficiency? And to what<br />

extent is it possible to recover the underlying structure - namely individual<br />

preferences (here, aversions to risk and/or fluctuations) and the decision<br />

process (here, the Pareto weights) from observed behavior? These questions<br />

- and others - are analyzed in the present chapter.<br />

6.1 Is commitment possible?<br />

We start with a brief discussion of the commitment issue. As discussed<br />

above, credit implies repayment, and the very reason why a formal credit<br />

market may fail to be available (say, non contractible investments) may<br />

result in enforcement problems even between spouses. As the usual cliche<br />

goes, a woman will be hesitant to support her husband through medical<br />

school if she expects him to break the marriage and marry a young nurse<br />

when he finishes (this is a standard example of the hold-up problem). Similarly,<br />

risk sharing requires possibly important transfers between spouses;<br />

which enforcement devices can guarantee that these transfers will actually<br />

take place when needed is a natural question. In subsequent sections we<br />

shall consider conventional economic analyzes of the commitment problem<br />

as they relate to the family. In the remainder of this section we consider<br />

possible commitment mechanisms that are specific to the family.<br />

From a game-theoretic perspective, marriage is a typical example of repeated<br />

interactions between the same players; we know that cooperation<br />

is easier to support in such contexts. 2 This suggests that, in many case,<br />

cooperation is a natural assumption. Still, the agents’ ability to commit is<br />

probably not unbounded. Love may fade away; fidelity is not always limitless;<br />

commitment is often constrained by specific legal restrictions (for<br />

1 A second problem is information: in general, efficient trade is much easier to implement<br />

in a context of symmetric information. Asymmetric information, however, is<br />

probably less problematic in households than in other types of relationship (say, between<br />

employers and employees or insurers and insurees), because the very nature of the<br />

relationship often implies deep mutual knowledge and improved monitoring ability.<br />

2 Del Boca and Flinn (2009) formulate a repeated game for time use that determines<br />

the amount of market work and housework that husbands and wives perform. Their<br />

preferred model is a cooperative model with a noncooperative breakdown point. They<br />

have a repeated game with a trigger strategy for adopting the inefficient non-cooperative<br />

outcome if the discount is too small. The value of the threshold discount factor they<br />

estimate to trigger noncooperative behavior is 0.52which implies that 94% of households<br />

behave cooperatively.

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