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Pierre André Chiappori (Columbia) "Family Economics" - Cemmap

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326 7. Matching on the Marriage Market: Theory<br />

mitment, Gale-Shapley still need not be the relevant equilibrium concept.<br />

To see why, consider the extreme situation in which marriage can be done<br />

and undone at very low cost. Then at any moment of marital life, each<br />

spouse has many close substitutes on the market, and the intrahousehold<br />

allocation will typically reflect this fact. Although, technically, this is not<br />

a BAMM situation (no binding agreement can be signed by assumption),<br />

the relevant concept is still the TU model a la Becker-Shapley-Shubik, because<br />

each spouse receives exactly her/his reservation value and the latter<br />

is fully determined by market equilibrium forces (at least when the number<br />

of potential spouses is ‘large enough’). In other words, even in the extreme<br />

no transfer/no commitment case, the BIM framework applies only insofar<br />

as marriage decision can only be reversed at some cost, and only within<br />

the limits defined by this cost.<br />

It is clear, in practice, that entry into marriage is a major decision that<br />

can be reversed only at some cost. However, as in any modeling choice,<br />

"realism" of the assumptions is not the only concern. It is also important<br />

to have a tractable model that allows one to predict the marriage market<br />

outcomes under varying conditions. In this regard, the presence of transaction<br />

costs is quite problematic. To see this, consider again our example<br />

7.3. Suppose that a new woman, 4, unexpectedly enters a marriage market<br />

that has been in one of the two equilibria discussed in section 7.1. Letthe<br />

new payoffs matrixbeasbelow:<br />

Example 7.3a<br />

Women<br />

1 2 3 4<br />

1 3, 2 2, 6 1, 1 2, 1<br />

Men<br />

2 4, 3 7, 2 2, 4 5, 4<br />

3 1, 1 2, 1 0, 0 .5,.5<br />

By assumption, woman 4 is preferred to woman 3 by all men and one would<br />

expect that in the new assignment woman 3 will become single. Suppose,<br />

however, that all existing couples bear a transaction cost of 0.75. Thenitis<br />

easy to see that if the original equilibrium was the one in which men moved<br />

first, no man will marry woman 4 and she will remain single. In contrast, if<br />

the original equilibrium was the one in which women moved first then man<br />

2 will take woman 4 and his ex-wife (woman 1) will first propose to man 1<br />

who will reject her and then to man 3 who will accept her, so that woman 3<br />

will become single. Thus, in general, it is impossible to predict what would<br />

happen when a new player enters the market, without knowing the bargaining<br />

outcomes in all marriages, the potential bargaining outcome that<br />

the entrant will have with all potential existing partners and the relational<br />

capital accumulated in all existing marriages. Such information is never<br />

available to the observer. In contrast, the Becker-Shapley-Shubik framework<br />

can predict the outcome very easily, using only information about<br />

the place of the new woman in the income distribution of women and the

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