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Pierre André Chiappori (Columbia) "Family Economics" - Cemmap

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10. An equilibrium model of marriage, fertility and divorce 457<br />

FIGURE 10.3. Equilibrium Divorce Rates<br />

Table 10.1: Example with Multiple Equilibria<br />

p =0.0 p =0.25 p =0.5<br />

Critical value for marriage, θm<br />

Critical value for children, θc<br />

Percent married<br />

Percent with children<br />

Percent divorced with children<br />

Percent divorced without children<br />

Percent single<br />

Lifetime utility<br />

Parameter values:<br />

Income, Y =1<br />

Range for the match quality, θ ∈ [− 1<br />

6<br />

, 1<br />

6 ]<br />

Size of shock to match quality, a = ± 11<br />

12<br />

Utility of children in intact family, q ∗ =1<br />

Utility of children following divorce, q 0 =0<br />

−1.31<br />

−.25<br />

100<br />

100<br />

0<br />

−<br />

0<br />

4.083<br />

Cost of raising children, c = 11<br />

12<br />

Probability of remarriage, γ =1<br />

Expected quality of match conditioned on remarriage,<br />

β = E(θ/θ ≥−Y )=0<br />

−1.22<br />

.00<br />

100<br />

50<br />

0<br />

50<br />

25<br />

4.094<br />

−1.14<br />

.25<br />

100<br />

0<br />

0<br />

50<br />

50<br />

4.208

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