BOOKS OF RtfiDIfGS - PAHO/WHO

Inquiry/Volume XIV. September 1977
be noted that failure to gauge "appropriateness
of utilization" is not an intrinsic failure of forecasting
methods; skillful and imaginative use
of existing methods could overcome this deficiency,
especially if supported by appropriate
utilization studies.
To Anticipate and Plan aor New Technologies
and Methods ol Organir.tion
Available forccasting methods, based upon current
demand data, are poorly suited to achieving
this objective. Demand is not a direct
function of either technology or methods of
organization. Hence, the use of current demand
data (influenced to whatever degree by
historical technology or methods of organization)
is a poor way to achieve the objective.
RIaercs aud Nots
I US. Conlre, The Comprehensive Healtil Planning
od Publk Hfm:ls Jer.vkts Amendtnnmu ol 1966, S
OM. 9h Co.1grm. Nov. 3, 1966.
2 US. Coneta. TIh Nalonal Healrh Planning and
Pres.esj Derviopmwn Act ol 19?. S-2994. 93rd
Can , Ia. 4, 1975.
3 Se dlcuíuo of ihes objhva in¡ th Ibolowinl:
M d, M. F.: "alic Comcepla nd Crucial luus
in Health Plaini Ametrkn Journol of Publk
HelWt. 59: 1, pp. 1697,. 1969. Colt, A. M.:
*EkwIum o« Comprehenaive Health Plaing."
A~rlnr louenul of Publkc Heldh. 60: 7. pp. 1194-
1204. 1970. Dcky. W. 1. t al.: 'Comnpreheadve
Halth PlanninaLFedcn a. Sate. Ltoal: Concepts
Id imitll", W~sn Lw Revkl,. pp. 339-78,
1970. Fhalb. nto t