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Zirve Eki - ISTANBUL REstate

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16-17 Haziran 2010<br />

that the Turkish, their practices or approach of Turkish investors were<br />

completely different than international ones. Let me put this in other way.<br />

The approach and practices of Turkish investors in the 80s was completely<br />

the same with the investor's practices in Spain in 80s or Italy or France. The<br />

problem is we enter to the market late. That is why we are learning<br />

altogether. Our investor learned, our government learned and our banking<br />

institutions learned. In the 80s, we didn't know how to finance a project,<br />

in other words, we didn't know the terminology of project financing. We<br />

were talking about but we didn't know it. Moreover, we didn't have any<br />

institution or a practice concerning the appraisal. Without appraisal, how<br />

can you go with the project finance or something like that? Now Turkey<br />

has started those practices in terms of institutional finance, in terms of equity<br />

funding whatsoever, and in terms of money markets, and in terms of capital<br />

markets too. There are some fundamental examples. One may say that<br />

those fundamental examples are not successful enough, I can accept it but<br />

we have to consider them as a baby in the market for the moment and<br />

that baby is having his own experiences to develop himself. This is very<br />

important. Right now the Turkish investors is learning deal structuring. Very<br />

predominantly they are doing deal structuring. Moreover, they are doing<br />

deals abroad. Turkish investors are investing in abroad. Probably, if I can<br />

count, maybe the hotel of Turkish investors abroad is not less than 40 in<br />

number which was a dream 20 years ago. That is why, my last word<br />

concerning this is; 'we are learning very quickly`. Our institutions are learning<br />

very quickly and no one should be hesitating about Turkish finance<br />

circumstances and finance practices. Of course we will criticize ourselves,<br />

but on the other hand the institutionalization of Turkish project finance is<br />

highly improved. It is very very important. That is why we shouldn't be too<br />

worried about existing practices. Of course there are some inherited practices<br />

for example bureaucracy is very slow. For example, project finance is still<br />

an issue that we cannot penetrate to the banks' brains very easily. That is<br />

true but believe me 20 years ago, 30 years ago, 40 years ago it was even<br />

worse in some European countries. That is why we have to look the issue,<br />

we have to see the issue in this way that we are learning, we are adapting<br />

ourselves and we are adopting the international standards very quickly. For<br />

example our banking right now is extremely strong in comparison to banking<br />

practices of many European countries. And we are taking advantage of it.<br />

This is very important and Turkish tourism has started to take the advantage<br />

of it as well. That is why, one thing is very important. The basic missing<br />

thing in project finance and in the finance of Turkish tourism investments<br />

is the relation with the capital markets. Nothing to be criticized and nothing<br />

to be worried about money markets but we have to concentrate ourselves<br />

to the relations with the capital markets. Our capital market is narrow and<br />

this extremely shallow in terms of tourism. And moreover we have to create<br />

some instruments to the capital market of Turkey as well as to the international<br />

capital markets so that we can go in a better way. Tourism in last 20 years<br />

became very competitive and major part of the economy. That is why no<br />

one can reverse this. And there is only one direction which is positive and<br />

we have to concentrate ourselves to the capital market relations.<br />

Ömer ‹svan: Can I add something to that? Let's not forget that is where<br />

Turkey is in the world. If we are going to talk about tourism, we are talking<br />

about in the top 8. This is not a joke. So we are not talking about like an<br />

emerging market or anything. We are in the first division of tourism in the<br />

world. So in 2010 figures we are number 8 up from nine and in the first<br />

10 only two countries went a nudge up. All the others basically went down.<br />

And in terms of improving their numbers in absolute terms not in comparative<br />

Gayrimenkul <strong>Zirve</strong>si 10<br />

terms, Turkey was the only one that actually improved their numbers in<br />

terms of arrivals in 2009, during the crisis. So we are talking top 8. We don't<br />

see actually, when we look we don't see too many competitors who are<br />

going to basically enter into that kind of a top league. And so Turkey is there<br />

to remain in the top 8 or top 5 even, because China is already there. That<br />

is going to be a leap, some balance improvement but it is already there and<br />

above so it is going to be in the top 5 -6, top 5,6,7,8, whatever it is. So we<br />

are talking about one of the top tourism investment countries in the world<br />

right now.<br />

Jakob Forstnig: That is understood and doubtless the touristic activity<br />

in Turkey is up there as you say in the top 10. The interesting part about this<br />

and Haluk Kaya mentioned an interesting thing. The investment in hotels<br />

has to be separated between leisure and business, especially in Turkey,<br />

apparently on the whole coast in Antalya, Bodrum, there are, I think, only<br />

three branded hotels and most investors are local, if not all of them, maybe<br />

there is an exception. So it is obviously very advantagous for the Turkish<br />

economy in general to have this sector which is growing, which continues<br />

to grow and I am sure with the natural resources this will continue. It is<br />

nevertheless interesting to state that there is no international foreign capital<br />

coming to this specific sector. The business sector I think, can be stated as<br />

different because we have had examples of foreign capital coming to Turkey.<br />

And Tavit thank you very much for anyway answering the question that I<br />

didn't ask which is "are Turkish investors going abroad to buy hotels" and<br />

you have already explained how this is evolving. I would like to give everybody<br />

a final chance to get a final point of view or statement. From what I can tell,<br />

Bettina has been getting some competition from local banks going forward.<br />

Maybe she has something to say about that. If Theodor will have - find some<br />

products, the criteria have been explained. The interesting part will be whether<br />

the products, the hotel developments will be more institutional as Ömer said.<br />

But please Bettina, what is your summary or final statement you would like<br />

to make, also based on what Ömer has said?<br />

Bettina Graef: Based on the competition. I mean, yes, at the end of the<br />

day competition is increasing but I think this is, you know, obviously for me<br />

not the best scenario, but in a general thing, competition shows that more<br />

interest is being generated into the investment in real estate, in lending. And<br />

the more interest there is, the more of a thriving market it is going to be,<br />

and the more of normalized and institutionalized market it is going to be.<br />

So I think looking forward whilst I may not necessarily like it, I think for the<br />

whole industry it may be a good thing.<br />

Jakob Forstnig: But they also understand the know-how for hotels has<br />

to be built up. It takes time. So project finance is one thing, hotel financing<br />

is almost another thing, but obviously let's not to try to be too scientific about<br />

this, but I think there is something to be said about it. Good. Theodor, maybe<br />

you have a few pointers to give us.<br />

Theodor Kubak: Yes. As an institutional investor governed by the<br />

German investment, equity, the lease is one of the main criteria which we<br />

need to look at and the leases has a few components which is very difficult<br />

to change, meaning in an ideal case, for one there is very few hotel companies<br />

in Turkey, I should say, international hotel brands with actually give a lease.<br />

So in some of the cases, we have what we call a triangle situation where<br />

there is the owner, the leaseholder and the management company. So the<br />

leaseholder would have the management contractor with the management<br />

company and would guarantee the lease to someone like us. Having said<br />

this, the lease should be structured in such a way that there is a rather high<br />

fixed component versus high flexible component that some companies which<br />

GYODER 177

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