07.04.2013 Views

part 1: overview of cogeneration and its status in asia - Fire

part 1: overview of cogeneration and its status in asia - Fire

part 1: overview of cogeneration and its status in asia - Fire

SHOW MORE
SHOW LESS

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

YUMPU automatically turns print PDFs into web optimized ePapers that Google loves.

128 Part3: Summary <strong>of</strong> country studies – Bangladesh <strong>and</strong> Viet Nam<br />

SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS<br />

STTM Steam Turb<strong>in</strong>e, Thermal Match, Heat Be<strong>in</strong>g Met: 5000 kg/hr<br />

REPM Reciprocat<strong>in</strong>g Eng<strong>in</strong>e, Power Match. Power Be<strong>in</strong>g Met: 1500 kW<br />

Sensitivity Analysis 1: What-If the Investment Cost (IC) Increases?<br />

Increment Step 2.50%<br />

% Increase 0.0% 2.5% 5.0% 7.5% 10.0% 12.5% 15.0%<br />

STTM IC(Peso) 12222440 12528001 12833562 13139123 13444684 13750245 14055806<br />

IRR(STTM) 24.3% 23.7% 23.1% 22.6% 22.1% 21.5% 21.1%<br />

REPM IC(Peso) 48376832 49586253 50795674 52005095 53214516 54423936 55633357<br />

IRR(REPM) 19.6% 19.0% 18.5% 18.0% 17.6% 17.1% 16.7%<br />

Sensitivity Analysis 2: What-If the Fuel Price Increases?<br />

STTM<br />

REPM<br />

IRR<br />

28%<br />

25%<br />

23%<br />

20%<br />

18%<br />

15%<br />

13%<br />

10%<br />

Increment Step 1.00%<br />

IRR vs. Investment Cost<br />

IRR(STTM)<br />

IRR(REPM)<br />

0% 5% 10% 15% 20%<br />

% <strong>of</strong> Investment Increase<br />

Escalation Rate 5.0% 6.0% 7.0% 8.0% 9.0% 10.0% 11.0% 12.0% 13.0%<br />

IRR(STTM) 24.3% 24.0% 23.6% 23.2% 22.7% 22.2% 21.7% 21.0% 20.3%<br />

IRR(REPM) 19.6% 19.1% 18.6% 18.1% 17.4% 16.7% 15.9% 14.9% 13.8%<br />

IRR<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

IRR vs. Escalation Rate <strong>of</strong> Fuel Price<br />

IRR(STTM)<br />

IRR(REPM)<br />

5% 7% 9% 11% 13% 15%<br />

Escalation Rate <strong>of</strong> Fuel Price

Hooray! Your file is uploaded and ready to be published.

Saved successfully!

Ooh no, something went wrong!