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part 1: overview of cogeneration and its status in asia - Fire

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162 Part3: Summary <strong>of</strong> country studies – Bangladesh <strong>and</strong> Viet Nam<br />

4.1.2 Status <strong>and</strong> future prospect <strong>of</strong> electricity dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> supply<br />

Electricity shortage is now a big problem <strong>in</strong> the power sector. Many <strong>in</strong>dustrial consumers<br />

have prepared themselves for power <strong>in</strong>terruptions with st<strong>and</strong>-by self-generat<strong>in</strong>g un<strong>its</strong>; <strong>in</strong><br />

some cases, even <strong>in</strong>dependent power plants have been commissioned for big <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />

consumers such as centralized <strong>in</strong>dustrial zones (CIZ) or export process<strong>in</strong>g zones (EPZ).<br />

In the period up to 2010, new power plants will be <strong>of</strong> different types <strong>in</strong> each region: coal (<strong>and</strong><br />

hydro) <strong>in</strong> the North, gas (comb<strong>in</strong>ed cycle) <strong>in</strong> the South, <strong>and</strong> hydro <strong>in</strong> the Central region. To<br />

alleviate the burden <strong>of</strong> <strong>in</strong>vestment capital on the government, the two considered ways are<br />

purchas<strong>in</strong>g electricity from <strong>in</strong>dependent power producers (IPP) or us<strong>in</strong>g electricity from Build-<br />

Operate-Transfer (BOT) schemes.<br />

Despite efforts by the Government, accord<strong>in</strong>g to a prediction made by the Electricity <strong>of</strong> Viet<br />

Nam (EVN), a serious electricity shortage, estimated to range from 400 GWh to 1 TWh, will<br />

take place <strong>in</strong> 1999 <strong>in</strong> Viet Nam. The EVN planned to buy approximately 100 GWh <strong>of</strong> electricity<br />

from <strong>in</strong>dustrial factories as well as centralized <strong>in</strong>dustrial parks (CIP) or <strong>in</strong>dustrial process<strong>in</strong>g<br />

zones (IPZ). Thus, the capacity deficit could be estimated as between 200 <strong>and</strong> 500 MW.<br />

4.1.3 Prevail<strong>in</strong>g Costs <strong>of</strong> Energy<br />

In Viet Nam, the prices <strong>of</strong> coal <strong>and</strong> electricity have been lower than their costs <strong>of</strong> production,<br />

ma<strong>in</strong>ly due to the subsidy extended by the government.<br />

The government has followed a strategy <strong>of</strong> fix<strong>in</strong>g maximum bulk <strong>and</strong> retail prices <strong>of</strong> oil <strong>and</strong> oil<br />

products on the basis <strong>of</strong> CIF cost <strong>of</strong> imported products, plus a distribution marg<strong>in</strong> <strong>and</strong> taxes.<br />

Oil <strong>and</strong> oil products prices depend strongly on the exchange rate variation.<br />

The retail price <strong>of</strong> electricity <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>dustry has been adjusted recently with the <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> the<br />

Value Added Tax (VAT) from January 1999 (see Table 4.1). However, the electricity tariff<br />

applied to foreign companies is higher, US$0.11/kWh. The capacity charge is so far not<br />

applied <strong>in</strong> Viet Nam although there is a registered capacity charge for big <strong>in</strong>dustrial<br />

consumers. The factory should not have a greater dem<strong>and</strong> than the registered capacity<br />

dur<strong>in</strong>g the peak period to avoid any power cut-<strong>of</strong>f.<br />

The time-<strong>of</strong>-day tariff has just been <strong>in</strong>troduced <strong>in</strong> the <strong>in</strong>dustry <strong>and</strong> commercial sector <strong>in</strong> Viet<br />

Nam but is not widely practised. Before January 1999, the price <strong>of</strong> electricity dur<strong>in</strong>g the utility<br />

peak period was double that <strong>of</strong> the normal period whereas the price dur<strong>in</strong>g <strong>of</strong>f-peak period<br />

was 25 per cent lower than that <strong>of</strong> the normal period. However, with the <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> VAT,<br />

the new time-<strong>of</strong>-day tariff is be<strong>in</strong>g adjusted <strong>and</strong> the power company EVN has yet to make a<br />

clear announcement.<br />

Table 4.1 Electricity tariff before <strong>and</strong> after <strong>in</strong>troduction <strong>of</strong> VAT<br />

Price before VAT Price after VAT Price <strong>of</strong> 1998<br />

VND/kWh* VND/kWh VND/kWh<br />

1. Normal period (110 kV) 636 699.6 700<br />

2. Normal period (20 kV to

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