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part 1: overview of cogeneration and its status in asia - Fire

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Economic <strong>and</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial aspects <strong>of</strong> <strong>cogeneration</strong> 27<br />

CHAPTER 3: ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL ASPECTS OF COGENERATION<br />

3.1 Introduction<br />

Cogeneration is a proven technology that saves fuel resources, but it does not necessarily<br />

imply any assurance <strong>of</strong> economic benef<strong>its</strong>. Irrespective <strong>of</strong> all <strong>its</strong> technical mer<strong>its</strong>, the<br />

adoption <strong>of</strong> <strong>cogeneration</strong> would pr<strong>in</strong>cipally depend on <strong>its</strong> economic viability, which is very<br />

much site-specific. The equipment used <strong>in</strong> <strong>cogeneration</strong> projects <strong>and</strong> their costs are fairly<br />

st<strong>and</strong>ard, but the same cannot be said about the f<strong>in</strong>ancial environment that varies<br />

considerably from one site <strong>and</strong>/or country to another. The best way to assess the<br />

attractiveness <strong>of</strong> a <strong>cogeneration</strong> project is to conduct a detailed f<strong>in</strong>ancial analysis <strong>and</strong><br />

compare the returns with the market rates for <strong>in</strong>vestments <strong>in</strong> projects present<strong>in</strong>g similar<br />

risks.<br />

Well-conceived <strong>cogeneration</strong> facilities should <strong>in</strong>corporate technical <strong>and</strong> economic features<br />

that can be optimized to meet both heat <strong>and</strong> power dem<strong>and</strong>s <strong>of</strong> a specific site. A<br />

comprehensive knowledge <strong>of</strong> the various energy requirements as well as characteristics <strong>of</strong><br />

the <strong>cogeneration</strong> plant is essential to derive an optimal solution. As a first step, the<br />

compatibility <strong>of</strong> the exist<strong>in</strong>g thermal system with the proposed <strong>cogeneration</strong> facility should be<br />

determ<strong>in</strong>ed. Important user characteristics which need to be considered <strong>in</strong>clude electrical<br />

<strong>and</strong> thermal energy dem<strong>and</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>iles, prevalent costs <strong>of</strong> conventional utilities (fossil fuels,<br />

electricity) <strong>and</strong> physical constra<strong>in</strong>ts <strong>of</strong> the site. A factor that should not be overlooked at this<br />

stage is the need for reliable energy supply as some <strong>in</strong>dustrial processes <strong>and</strong> commercial<br />

sites are extremely sensitive to any disruption <strong>of</strong> energy supply that may lead to production<br />

losses.<br />

To fully exploit the <strong>cogeneration</strong> <strong>in</strong>stallation throughout the year, potential c<strong>and</strong>idates for<br />

<strong>cogeneration</strong> should have the follow<strong>in</strong>g characteristics:<br />

a. adequate thermal energy needs, match<strong>in</strong>g with the electrical dem<strong>and</strong>;<br />

b. reasonably high electrical load factor <strong>and</strong>/or annual operat<strong>in</strong>g hours;<br />

c. fairly constant <strong>and</strong> match<strong>in</strong>g electrical <strong>and</strong> thermal energy dem<strong>and</strong> pr<strong>of</strong>iles.<br />

These are essential for full exploitation <strong>of</strong> the <strong>cogeneration</strong> <strong>in</strong>stallation; moreover, <strong>part</strong>-load<br />

operation <strong>of</strong> the plant can be avoided, which would otherwise have affected the economic<br />

viability <strong>of</strong> the project.<br />

3.2 Some Po<strong>in</strong>ts to Consider for Cogeneration Project Development<br />

Cogeneration project is the same as any other commercial project requir<strong>in</strong>g high <strong>in</strong>vestment,<br />

relatively longer period, <strong>and</strong> present<strong>in</strong>g certa<strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>ancial risks. Therefore the steps which<br />

should be followed <strong>in</strong> develop<strong>in</strong>g a <strong>cogeneration</strong> facility would be quite the same as those<br />

employed for any <strong>in</strong>vestment project (see Figure 3.1). Projects will obviously vary from one to<br />

another on the basis <strong>of</strong> factors such as who is the project developer, what is the size <strong>of</strong> the<br />

project, who is f<strong>in</strong>anc<strong>in</strong>g the project, etc.<br />

Prior to undertak<strong>in</strong>g any economic analysis to assist the commercial benefit <strong>of</strong> a<br />

<strong>cogeneration</strong> project, technical parameters which need to be considered first have been<br />

discussed <strong>in</strong> Chapter 1 <strong>and</strong> are summarized below:

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