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Working and ageing - Cedefop - Europa

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46<br />

<strong>Working</strong> <strong>and</strong> <strong>ageing</strong><br />

Guidance <strong>and</strong> counselling for mature learners<br />

3.3. The changing world of work<br />

Internal (enterprise) <strong>and</strong> external (societal) labour markets are changing. At<br />

present there are two socioeconomic trends, which mutually complement each<br />

other. Company tenure ( 11 ) is becoming less common for employees (caused<br />

by dismissals, reengineering, outsourcing, etc.) <strong>and</strong> job tenure ( 12 ) is also<br />

decreasing. Thus, a guarantee of a lifelong workplace as well as lifelong<br />

employment in the same job is becoming increasingly unrealistic. Many<br />

traditional workplaces in the blue-collar sector (declining importance of<br />

manufacturing) <strong>and</strong> even in the white-collar sector (such as banking) have<br />

already disappeared or are disappearing. Enterprises are increasingly forced<br />

to produce goods <strong>and</strong> services using fewer <strong>and</strong> fewer employees to remain<br />

competitive. There is a tendency in many enterprises for core employees to<br />

do the regular work, while more discontinuous activities are contracted from<br />

the external labour market (such as temporary workers or employees with a<br />

fixed-term contract). This will dominate employer-employee relationships <strong>and</strong><br />

will have a strong impact on unemployed persons in the future (Booth et al.,<br />

2002; Cappelli <strong>and</strong> Neumark, 2004; Pfeifer, 2005; 2009). The future labour<br />

force will probably consist of:<br />

(a) core employees: a small group of highly qualified experts, technicians <strong>and</strong><br />

managers; <strong>and</strong> a core group of skilled/unskilled employees;<br />

(b) a quantitatively important group of highly qualified external experts, who<br />

will temporarily work for enterprises on a contract basis. This group will<br />

take on many tasks formerly done by middle management;<br />

(c) a temporary labour force of semi-skilled employees for peak times;<br />

(d) short-term unemployed persons;<br />

(e) long-term unemployed persons.<br />

Such a labour force distribution seems ideal from the viewpoint of enterprise<br />

costs. However, just-in-time production going on in enterprises is consistent<br />

with just-in-time work <strong>and</strong>, in many enterprises, even just-in-time training. This<br />

more vulnerable future ʻemployment relationships modelʼ may, however,<br />

disrupt continuity of production of goods <strong>and</strong> services in case of difficulties<br />

(such as supply bottlenecks, shortage of qualified staff). It is just as much in<br />

enterprisesʼ interests to maintain continuity of production of goods <strong>and</strong><br />

services, which implies more or less stable employer-employee relationships.<br />

( 11 ) The German expression is Betriebsbindung.<br />

( 12 ) The German expression is Berufsbindung.

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