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Invasive breast carcinoma - IARC

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Fig. 1.73 A Supervised classification on prognosis signatures, using a set of prognostic reporter genes<br />

to identify optimally two types of disease outcome from 78 sporadic <strong>breast</strong> tumours into a poor prognosis<br />

and good prognosis group. B Each row represents a tumour and each column a gene. Genes are<br />

ordered according to their correlation coefficient with the two prognostic groups. Tumours are ordered<br />

by the correlation to the average profile of the good prognosis group. Solid line, prognostic classifier with<br />

optimal accuracy; dashed line, with optimized sensitivity. Above the dashed line patients have a good<br />

prognosis signature, below the dashed line the prognosis signature is poor. The metastasis status for<br />

each patient is shown in the right panel: white indicates patients who developed distant metastases<br />

within 5 years after the primary diagnosis; black indicates patients who continued to be disease-free for<br />

at least 5 years. From L.J. van’t Veer et al. {2986}.<br />

association between specific mutations<br />

and short survival and poor response to<br />

t reatment was seen, emphasizing the<br />

i m p o rtance of DNA sequence analysis<br />

of the entire coding region of T P 5 3<br />

when evaluating its prognostic and predictive<br />

value.<br />

Loss of heterozygosity (LOH)<br />

LOH at the T P 5 3 gene has been shown<br />

to be a marker for prognosis and predictor<br />

of response to certain therapies<br />

(see above). Other regions with LOH<br />

that appear to correlate to short survival<br />

include 11q23 and several regions on<br />

3p {1216,1552}. Deletion of 9q13 is also<br />

associated with shorter survival. The<br />

target gene(s) in these areas have still<br />

to be identified {1326}.<br />

D N A a m p l i f i c a t i o n<br />

Conventional as well as array-based<br />

CGH have identified a number of amplified<br />

regions containing putative oncogenes<br />

with prognostic potential. Amplification<br />

of the FGFR1 gene on 8p12 has<br />

been correlated with reduced diseasefree<br />

survival, especially if the gene is<br />

amplified together with the cyclin D1<br />

gene {596}. The MYC gene on 8q24 is<br />

amplified in approximately 20% of <strong>breast</strong><br />

c a rcinomas, which is associated with<br />

estrogen receptor negativity {596}, locally<br />

advanced disease and poor prognosis<br />

{250}. On 11q13, cyclin D1 (CCND1) is<br />

amplified in 15-20% of <strong>breast</strong> tumours. In<br />

ER-positive tumours, CCND1 amplification<br />

is associated with a relatively poor<br />

prognosis {596,2582}, and is more frequent<br />

in lobular <strong>carcinoma</strong>s compared to<br />

ductal <strong>carcinoma</strong>s.<br />

Expression profiling<br />

Much recent work has been focused<br />

on the potential of gene expression<br />

p rofiles to predict the clinical outcome<br />

of <strong>breast</strong> cancer { 2 5 7 , 1 2 5 7 , 2 3 2 8 , 2 7 5 7 ,<br />

2986,2990}. These studies, although<br />

h e t e rogeneous in patient selection and<br />

numbers of tumours analysed, have indicated<br />

that gene expression pattern s<br />

can be identified that associate with<br />

lymph node or distant metastasis, and<br />

that are capable of predicting disease<br />

course in individual patients with high<br />

accuracies (circa 90%). In the largest<br />

study to date {2990}, analysing 295<br />

tumours, the expression profile was a<br />

s t rong independent factor and outcompeted<br />

lymph node status as a pre d i c t o r<br />

of outcome. These findings suggest<br />

that some primary tumours express a<br />

"metastasis signature", which is diff i c u l t<br />

to reconcile with the classic tumour prog<br />

ression model in which a rare subpopulation<br />

of tumour cells have accumulated<br />

the numerous alterations re q u i re d<br />

for metastasis to occur. Intere s t i n g l y,<br />

some of the genes in the signature<br />

seem to be derived from non-epithelial<br />

components of the tumour {2328}, suggesting<br />

that stromal elements re p re s e n t<br />

an important contributing factor to the<br />

metastatic phenotype. Survival diff e r-<br />

ences were also noted between the diff<br />

e rent subtypes of <strong>breast</strong> tumours as<br />

defined by expression patterns {2756,<br />

2757}. The patients with basal-like and<br />

ERBB2+ subtypes were associated with<br />

the shortest survival, while a diff e re n c e<br />

in the outcome for tumours classified as<br />

luminal A versus luminal B was also evident.<br />

The luminal subtype B may re p resent<br />

a class of ER-positive tumours with<br />

poor outcome, possibly not re s p o n d i n g<br />

to tamoxifen. This strongly supports the<br />

idea that many of these <strong>breast</strong> tumour<br />

subtypes re p resent biologically distinct<br />

disease entities with diff e rent clinical<br />

o u t c o m e .<br />

A remarkable feature of the expre s s i o n<br />

s i g n a t u res identified in these studies is<br />

that they usually involve fewer than 100<br />

genes {257,2986}, in one instance even<br />

only 17 genes {2328}. However, somewhat<br />

confusing is that the overlap<br />

between the diff e rent sets of genes thus<br />

defined is incomplete {1257,2757}.<br />

F u rther comparative studies are<br />

re q u i red to elucidate the critical components<br />

of the poor prognosis signature ,<br />

while the clinical utility of this new diagnostic<br />

tool must now be demonstrated<br />

in a prospective trial setting. At a more<br />

fundamental level, it will be intere s t i n g<br />

to establish whether the observed association<br />

between expression signature s<br />

and survival reflects an intrinsic biological<br />

behaviour of <strong>breast</strong> tumour cells or<br />

a diff e rential response to therapy.<br />

<strong>Invasive</strong> <strong>breast</strong> <strong>carcinoma</strong><br />

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