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Dictionary of Evidence-based Medicine.pdf

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o<br />

OBM (see Opinion-<strong>based</strong> medicine)<br />

Odds ratio<br />

The odds <strong>of</strong> an outcome (e.g. adverse reaction following exposure to a<br />

drug) is the ratio <strong>of</strong> the probability <strong>of</strong> the outcome occurring to the probability<br />

<strong>of</strong> it not occurring. If the odds (O) <strong>of</strong> an event occurring following<br />

exposure to drug A is (Oa) and the odds <strong>of</strong> the same event occurring<br />

following exposure to drug B is (Ob), the ratio <strong>of</strong> the two odds (Oa/Ob) is<br />

known as the odds ratio (OR).<br />

In the above example, an odds ratio <strong>of</strong>, say, 5 means that the odds <strong>of</strong><br />

having the event in question following exposure to drug A is five times<br />

that following exposure to drug B.<br />

Table 5 Contingency table showing a hypothetical set <strong>of</strong> outcomes following treatment<br />

<strong>of</strong> two groups <strong>of</strong> 100 patients each with two treatments A and B<br />

Treatment A<br />

Treatment B<br />

Event present 15 5<br />

Event absent 85 95<br />

Total events 100 100<br />

The odds <strong>of</strong> the event happening with treatment A = 15/85 and with<br />

treatment B = 5/95. The odds ratio <strong>of</strong> the event happening with treatment<br />

A relative to treatment B = (15/85 divided by 5/95) = 2.68. The risk <strong>of</strong> the<br />

event happening with treatment A = 15/100 and with treatment B = 5/100.<br />

The risk ratio <strong>of</strong> event occurring with treatment A relative to B = (15/100<br />

divided by 5/100) = 3. The risk difference for the event happening with<br />

the two treatments being compared = (15/100 - 5/100) = 0.1. The number<br />

needed to treat = I/risk difference = 10.

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