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Dictionary of Evidence-based Medicine.pdf

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130 <strong>Dictionary</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Evidence</strong>-<strong>based</strong> <strong>Medicine</strong><br />

concept using as an example the allocation, by a health authority, <strong>of</strong> a $lm<br />

budget to two competing claims: provision <strong>of</strong> day care places or hospital<br />

beds for mentally ill patients. Each day care place costs $500 while a hospital<br />

bed costs $5000. With the allocated budget, the health authority can<br />

provide 2000 day care places or 200 beds. Line BD, the production possibility<br />

frontier, shows the alternative, allocatively efficient combinations,<br />

such as point E, <strong>of</strong> day care and hospital beds which can be provided. Point<br />

A, on the other hand, is not efficient since day care places can be increased<br />

without decreasing hospital beds and vice versa.<br />

Production possibility frontiers or curves need not be linear and can be<br />

generalized to deal with more than two choices (Phelps CE (1997) Health<br />

economics. 2nd edition. Addison Wesley, Reading, USA).<br />

Prognosis<br />

The likely clinical progress <strong>of</strong> a patient or disease over time.<br />

Programme effectiveness analysis (see Intention to treat analysis)<br />

Prospective case-control study (see under Case-control study)<br />

Prospective meta-analysis (see under Meta-analysis)<br />

Prospective study (see a/so under Cohort study)<br />

A prospective study is one in which subjects are recruited and followed<br />

forward in time.<br />

Protopathic bias (see under Bias)<br />

Public goods<br />

Pure public goods are those which are characterized by collective property<br />

rights from which no one can be excluded. Examples <strong>of</strong> such goods are air<br />

quality and sunlight. Those goods are not traded in any organized market.<br />

These goods can be separated from quasi-private goods and pure private<br />

goods. With the latter, individual property rights are assigned, potential<br />

customers can be excluded and the goods are traded competitively and

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