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IPCC_Managing Risks of Extreme Events.pdf - Climate Access

IPCC_Managing Risks of Extreme Events.pdf - Climate Access

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Changes in Impacts <strong>of</strong> <strong>Climate</strong> <strong>Extreme</strong>s: Human Systems and EcosystemsChapter 4analysis <strong>of</strong> potential and projected damages are limited to a few countries, infrastructure types, and sectors.[4.3.2, 4.3.5.2]Estimates <strong>of</strong> adaptation costs to climate change exhibit a large range and relate to different assessmentperiods. For 2030, the estimated global cost ranges from US$ 48 to 171 billion per year (in 2005 US$) with recentestimates for developing countries broadly amounting to the average <strong>of</strong> this range with annual costs <strong>of</strong> up to US$ 100billion. Confidence in individual estimates is low because the estimates are derived from only three relativelyindependent studies. These studies have not explicitly separated costs <strong>of</strong> adapting to changes in climate extremesfrom other climate change impacts, do not include costs incurred by all sectors, and are based on extrapolations <strong>of</strong>bottom-up assessments and on top-down analysis lacking site-specificity. [4.5.3, 4.5.5, 4.5.6]236

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