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IPCC_Managing Risks of Extreme Events.pdf - Climate Access

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Glossary <strong>of</strong> TermsAnnex IIor anthropogenic external forcing (external variability). See also <strong>Climate</strong>change.Cold days/cold nightsDays where maximum temperature, or nights where minimumtemperature, falls below the 10th percentile, where the respectivetemperature distributions are generally defined with respect to the1961-1990 reference period.Community-based disaster risk managementSee Local disaster risk management.ConfidenceConfidence in the validity <strong>of</strong> a finding, based on the type, amount,quality, and consistency <strong>of</strong> evidence and on the degree <strong>of</strong> agreement.Confidence is expressed qualitatively.Control runA model run carried out to provide a ‘baseline’ for comparison withclimate change experiments. The control run uses constant values forthe radiative forcing due to greenhouse gases and anthropogenicaerosols appropriate to pre-industrial conditions.ConvectionVertical motion driven by buoyancy forces arising from static instability,usually caused by near-surface cooling or increases in salinity in the case<strong>of</strong> the ocean and near-surface warming in the case <strong>of</strong> the atmosphere.At the location <strong>of</strong> convection, the horizontal scale is approximately thesame as the vertical scale, as opposed to the large contrast betweenthese scales in the general circulation. The net vertical mass transport isusually much smaller than the upward and downward exchange.CopingThe use <strong>of</strong> available skills, resources, and opportunities to address,manage, and overcome adverse conditions, with the aim <strong>of</strong> achievingbasic functioning in the short to medium term.Coping capacityThe ability <strong>of</strong> people, organizations, and systems, using available skills,resources, and opportunities, to address, manage, and overcomeadverse conditions.Detection and attribution<strong>Climate</strong> varies continually on all time scales. Detection <strong>of</strong> climatechange is the process <strong>of</strong> demonstrating that climate has changed insome defined statistical sense, without providing a reason for thatchange. Attribution <strong>of</strong> causes <strong>of</strong> climate change is the process <strong>of</strong>establishing the most likely causes for the detected change with somedefined level <strong>of</strong> confidence.DiabaticA process in which external heat is gained or lost by the system.DisasterSevere alterations in the normal functioning <strong>of</strong> a community or a societydue to hazardous physical events interacting with vulnerable socialconditions, leading to widespread adverse human, material, economic,or environmental effects that require immediate emergency response tosatisfy critical human needs and that may require external support forrecovery.Disaster managementSocial processes for designing, implementing, and evaluating strategies,policies, and measures that promote and improve disaster preparedness,response, and recovery practices at different organizational and societallevels.Disaster riskThe likelihood over a specified time period <strong>of</strong> severe alterations in thenormal functioning <strong>of</strong> a community or a society due to hazardousphysical events interacting with vulnerable social conditions, leading towidespread adverse human, material, economic, or environmentaleffects that require immediate emergency response to satisfy criticalhuman needs and that may require external support for recovery.Disaster risk management (DRM)Processes for designing, implementing, and evaluating strategies,policies, and measures to improve the understanding <strong>of</strong> disaster risk,foster disaster risk reduction and transfer, and promote continuousimprovement in disaster preparedness, response, and recovery practices,with the explicit purpose <strong>of</strong> increasing human security, well-being,quality <strong>of</strong> life, and sustainable development.Disaster risk reduction (DRR)Denotes both a policy goal or objective, and the strategic andinstrumental measures employed for anticipating future disaster risk;reducing existing exposure, hazard, or vulnerability; and improvingresilience.Diurnal temperature rangeThe difference between the maximum and minimum temperatureduring a 24-hour period.DownscalingDownscaling is a method that derives local- to regional-scale (up to100 km) information from larger-scale models or data analyses. The fulldefinition is provided in Section 3.2.3.DroughtA period <strong>of</strong> abnormally dry weather long enough to cause a serioushydrological imbalance. Drought is a relative term (see Box 3-3),therefore any discussion in terms <strong>of</strong> precipitation deficit must refer tothe particular precipitation-related activity that is under discussion. Forexample, shortage <strong>of</strong> precipitation during the growing season impingeson crop production or ecosystem function in general (due to soil moisture558

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