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IPCC_Managing Risks of Extreme Events.pdf - Climate Access

IPCC_Managing Risks of Extreme Events.pdf - Climate Access

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Chapter 7<strong>Managing</strong> the <strong>Risks</strong>: International Level and Integration across ScalesGARs also note this area <strong>of</strong> weakness, but note that it is possible forcountries to address underlying risk drivers using an assortment <strong>of</strong>mechanisms to increase resilience (e.g., raising awareness, education,training, risk assessments, early warning systems, building safety, microinsurancein macro-financing schemes) (UNISDR, 2009a, 2011a).It was also acknowledged in the 2009 GAR that weather-related disasterrisk is escalating swiftly, in terms <strong>of</strong> the regions affected, frequency<strong>of</strong> events, and losses reported. This frequency relates to occurrencepatterns as well as improved reporting <strong>of</strong> all categories <strong>of</strong> weatherrelatedhazards. Data was collected from a sample <strong>of</strong> 12 Asian and LatinAmerican countries: Argentina, Bolivia, Colombia, Costa Rica, Ecuador,the Indian states <strong>of</strong> Orissa and Tamil Nadu, Iran, Mexico, Nepal, Peru,Sri Lanka, and Venezuela. The report further noted that these increaseswill magnify the uneven distribution <strong>of</strong> risk between wealthier andpoorer countries (UNISDR, 2009a, p. 11). Furthermore, a conclusion isdrawn in the report that climate change is changing the geographicaldistribution, intensity, and frequency <strong>of</strong> these weather-related hazards,threatening to exceed the capacities <strong>of</strong> poorer countries and theircommunities’ abilities to absorb losses and recover from disasterimpacts (UNISDR, 2009b). However, the 2011 GAR reported significantprogress with a decrease in global mortality risk from tropical cyclones andflooding, with the only exception being South Asia where vulnerabilityis still increasing (UNISDR, 2011a, p. 28).The 2009 and 2011 GARs, as well as the discussion they generated inthe Global Platforms <strong>of</strong> 2009, have brought a regional dimension toperformance assessment, in an effort to monitor progress.When evaluating the progress <strong>of</strong> HFA on each <strong>of</strong> its five Priorities forAction, the GNDR found that the lowest level <strong>of</strong> progress across all thefive priorities was at the lowest scale in community participation indecisionmaking on DRR (GNDR, 2009). These findings also indicate theneed for a stronger link between policy formulation at international andnational levels to policy execution at local levels. Rapid progress hasbeen made in the development <strong>of</strong> comprehensive seasonal and longtermearly warning systems (EWS) to anticipate droughts, floods, andtropical storms. These systems have proved to be effective in savinglives and protecting property. In the 2009 GAR, the status <strong>of</strong> EWS wasreviewed (UNISDR, 2009a, Box 5.2 on p. 127). This was based on adetailed progress review <strong>of</strong> EWS undertaken by WMO (WMO, 2009).Typical examples <strong>of</strong> the effectiveness <strong>of</strong> EWS in reducing the impact <strong>of</strong>cyclones and flooding can be found in Mozambique, where their EWSwas first tested in a cyclone in 2007 (Foley, 2007) and in Bangladesh,where the flood and cyclone EWS has been progressively developedover three decades (Paul et al., 2010; also see Case Study 9.2.11).A key finding concerned the importance <strong>of</strong> education and sharingknowledge, including indigenous and traditional knowledge, and ensuringeasy and systematic access to best practice tools and internationalstandards, tailored to specific sectors (see Section 7.4.5). There is somerecognition <strong>of</strong> the benefits in harmonizing and linking the frameworksand policies for DRM and CCA as core policy and programmatic objectivesin national development plans and in support <strong>of</strong> poverty reductionstrategies. DRM policies also need to take account <strong>of</strong> climate change.Nevertheless, countries are making significant progress in strengtheningcapacities, institutional systems, and legislation to address deficienciesin disaster preparedness and response (GNDR, 2009; UNISDR, 2009a).In preparing for the mid-term review <strong>of</strong> the HFA, the UNISDR secretariatcommissioned a desk review <strong>of</strong> literature to form “a baseline <strong>of</strong> thedisaster risk reduction landscape.” Forty-seven key documents wereidentified, mainly consisting <strong>of</strong> reports from UNISDR <strong>of</strong>fices and partnerorganizations: NGOs and international development banks (UNISDR,2011b).The HFA Mid-Term Review 2010-2011 raised two important internationalissues. The first need is to develop accountability mechanisms at alllevels to measure the actions taken and progress achieved in DRR. Thesecond need is for the international community to develop a morecoherent and integrated approach to support the implementation <strong>of</strong> theHFA. The review suggests that this will require connected action <strong>of</strong> thevaried international actors (UNISDR, 2011b).However, it is important to reflect on the reality that all <strong>of</strong> these methodsto review international progress in risk reduction – country progressreports, the 2009 and 2011 GARs, the reports <strong>of</strong> the GNDR, and theMid-Term Review <strong>of</strong> the HFA – are all internally produced reports by theparticipating agencies with external advisory boards and peer review,but all involving self-assessment. The GNDR’s publications are fullyindependent from the UN and governments, but make no claim to bescientifically accurate assessments. The country HFA reports are onlineat www.preventionweb.net/english/hyogo/progress/?pid:73&pih:2.All the above studies attempted to assess HFA performance and, asnoted above, none were totally separate from the work or institutionsbeing assessed. Furthermore, none looked specifically at the performance<strong>of</strong> the lead organization, UNISDR, in comparison with other multilateralbodies. This report came in 2011, when the UK Aid Agency, theDepartment for International Development (DFID), published aMultilateral Aid Review. The purpose was to ensure maximum value formoney for UK aid by examining the performance <strong>of</strong> 43 multilateralorganizations. This peer-reviewed assessment placed the UNISDR in a43rd-ranked position in an assessment <strong>of</strong> 43 multilateral organizations(DFID, 2011).This independent and comparative assessment included an evaluation<strong>of</strong> UNISDR since its foundation and identified its strength as globalcoordinator <strong>of</strong> the three Global Platforms in DRR that have beensuccessful in advocacy and raising awareness. However, the assessmentalso identified a series <strong>of</strong> shortcomings in UNISDR. They included its poorperformance in international coordination and its focus on national-levelresponses rather than its global mandate, which is broad rather thanspecific in focus. Further criticisms include inadequate attention tostrategic considerations as well as leadership failures, with the reportstating that there was no clear line <strong>of</strong> sight from UNISDR’s mandate, to405

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