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Economic Report of the President

Report - The American Presidency Project

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at an approach that took account <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> legitimate concerns <strong>of</strong> allgroups and at <strong>the</strong> same time fur<strong>the</strong>red <strong>the</strong> national interest. Dealingwith <strong>the</strong> Nation's remaining economic problems will also requirepainful measures and <strong>the</strong> reconciliation <strong>of</strong> a number <strong>of</strong> different interests.Our handling <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> energy problem should raise our confidencethat we can be successful elsewhere.We have also had major successes in o<strong>the</strong>r fields. After decades <strong>of</strong>inaction, <strong>the</strong> past 4 years have seen <strong>the</strong> elimination <strong>of</strong> price-proppingand competition-deadening regulations in a number <strong>of</strong> American industries.In <strong>the</strong>se 4 years we witnessed more progress in economicderegulation than at any o<strong>the</strong>r time in <strong>the</strong> century. In <strong>the</strong> face <strong>of</strong>great skepticism and initial opposition, <strong>the</strong> executive branch, <strong>the</strong>Congress, and some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> independent regulatory agencies havederegulated or drastically reduced regulation in <strong>the</strong> airline, trucking,and railroad industries, and in banking and o<strong>the</strong>r financial institutions.We have also made a promising start in <strong>the</strong> communicationsindustry. The transportation, communications, and finance industriescomprise a triad that links <strong>the</strong> various strands <strong>of</strong> our economy toge<strong>the</strong>r.Better performance in <strong>the</strong>se industries should have effects farbeyond <strong>the</strong>ir own boundaries.The gains from deregulation will be substantial. For example, productivityand efficiency will be directly increased as transportationload factors are improved and empty backhauls reduced. One survey<strong>of</strong> studies estimates that reform in <strong>the</strong> trucking industry alone willlead to $5 billion in annual cost reductions. Even more importantwill be <strong>the</strong> longer-run spur to innovation and <strong>the</strong> increased flexibilitythat comes from opening up <strong>the</strong>se industries to <strong>the</strong> fresh winds <strong>of</strong>competition.Population trends will be working to help <strong>the</strong> country deal withsome <strong>of</strong> its economic problems in <strong>the</strong> 1980s, whereas in <strong>the</strong> late1960s and 1970s <strong>the</strong>se trends required some difficult adjustments.The generation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> postwar baby boom began entering <strong>the</strong> labormarket in <strong>the</strong> 1960s and <strong>the</strong> influx <strong>of</strong> new workers continued during<strong>the</strong> 1970s. The percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population aged 16 to 24 rosesharply. And as birth rates slowed, women entered <strong>the</strong> labor force inever increasing numbers. On average, <strong>the</strong> labor force became less experienced,and average productivity per worker suffered. The increasedproportion <strong>of</strong> women and young people in <strong>the</strong> labor forcealso contributed to an increase in <strong>the</strong> average unemployment rate because<strong>the</strong> transition from school or home to job takes time and because<strong>the</strong>se new workers sometimes had periods <strong>of</strong> unemployment as<strong>the</strong>y explored different career possibilities.Because <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> slowdown in birth rates in <strong>the</strong> past 15 years, <strong>the</strong>1980s will see about half as fast a growth in <strong>the</strong> labor force as in <strong>the</strong>

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