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Economic Report of the President

Report - The American Presidency Project

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capacity utilization is low. The U.S. automobile sector is a clear example,and similar requirements exist in most countries. Finally, asdiscussed in Chapter 1 with reference to <strong>the</strong> United States, <strong>the</strong>re is agood deal <strong>of</strong> evidence that policies to raise <strong>the</strong> return on capital investmentor to lower <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> capital can have substantial impactson investment demand even when significant excess capacity exists.For all <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>se reasons it seems probable that countries can avoid alow-growth trap and, by pursuing vigorous investment-oriented policies,raise <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> investment in GNP even while continuing withpolicies <strong>of</strong> overall demand restraint.The second supply-oriented approach is to increase <strong>the</strong> flexibility<strong>of</strong> labor and product markets by reducing unnecessarily burdensomeregulation, by increasing competition within and across borders, andby improving policies for structural adjustment in industry and agriculture.Policies, for instance, that improve flexibility in labor marketsthrough job training or o<strong>the</strong>r programs, or which reduce <strong>the</strong>downward rigidity <strong>of</strong> wages in <strong>the</strong> face <strong>of</strong> high unemployment,achieve several important objectives simultaneously. They reduce unemploymentdirectly by easing frictional unemployment and stimulating<strong>the</strong> demand for labor in sectors where prevailing wage rigiditieshave made hiring unpr<strong>of</strong>itable. Perhaps more important, greaterlabor-market flexibility increases <strong>the</strong> speed with which restrictivedemand policies translate into lower rates <strong>of</strong> inflation. To <strong>the</strong> extentthat this occurs, higher rates <strong>of</strong> real growth can be accommodated.Even if demand policies do not change so that nominal incomegrowth is limited, real income growth is larger to <strong>the</strong> extent that inflationis less. Moreover, if inflation declines more quickly in responseto demand restraint, both <strong>the</strong> severity and <strong>the</strong> duration <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>needed demand restraint are reduced, thus fur<strong>the</strong>r improving <strong>the</strong>prospects for higher growth and a more rapid absorption <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> unemployed.O<strong>the</strong>r examples <strong>of</strong> policies that enhance flexibility include U.S. effortsin deregulation and regulatory reform, <strong>the</strong> progressive dismantling<strong>of</strong> price controls in France during <strong>the</strong> past several years, and<strong>the</strong> moves in some countries to allow more realistic pricing policiesin nationalized sectors.There are serious difficulties to be overcome, however. In manycases governments lack <strong>the</strong> tools for evaluating <strong>the</strong> costs and benefits<strong>of</strong> structural policies. Divisions <strong>of</strong> authority among agencies with differentobjectives or loyalties make coherent policy formulation, implementation,or evaluation difficult. There is, in general, a need toincrease <strong>the</strong> "transparency" <strong>of</strong> government operations—both internally,so that governments <strong>the</strong>mselves can come to a clearer perception<strong>of</strong> just what it is <strong>the</strong>y are doing, and externally, so that those196

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