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Economic Report of the President

Report - The American Presidency Project

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to $27.5 billion in <strong>the</strong> new budget for fiscal year 1982, and reduce itstill fur<strong>the</strong>r to $8 billion in 1983, despite <strong>the</strong> substantial increases indefense spending which I find it necessary to recommend for thoseyears:• Beyond exerting strict control over requests for new appropriationsfor ongoing programs, my 1982 budget sets forth a detailedlist <strong>of</strong> requests to <strong>the</strong> Congress for <strong>the</strong> legislation neededto pare some $9 billion in spending in both fiscal 1982 and fiscal1983. If enacted, <strong>the</strong>se savings would help make possible a reductionin <strong>the</strong> share <strong>of</strong> GNP taken by Federal spending from23.3 percent in 1981 to 23.0 percent in 1982 and 22.6 percent in1983.• The personal tax reductions which I am proposing should takeeffect on January 1, 1982, ra<strong>the</strong>r than at some earlier date in1981.• I am renewing my request to <strong>the</strong> Congress for a modest increasein <strong>the</strong> tax on gasoline; <strong>the</strong>re is no better way to provide additionalrevenues for reducing <strong>the</strong> budget deficit than a measurewhich simultaneously reduces our imports <strong>of</strong> foreign oil.• I still strongly support <strong>the</strong> national health insurance proposal that Iearlier submitted to <strong>the</strong> Congress, but <strong>the</strong> need for budgetaryrestraint to control inflation requires that its introduction bedelayed until more budgetary room is available and adequate costcontainment is in place.In order to avoid repetition <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> recent situation in which manyFederal payments rose too rapidly because <strong>the</strong>y are tied to an indexwhich does not accurately reflect changes in <strong>the</strong> cost <strong>of</strong> living, I amrecommending that <strong>the</strong> Congress authorize use <strong>of</strong> a more representativeindex. I am informed by <strong>the</strong> Commissioner that <strong>the</strong> Bureau <strong>of</strong>Labor Statistics is now producing an index <strong>of</strong> this type and that it canquickly be made available on a timely basis.Although my 1982 budget emphasizes <strong>the</strong> need for fiscal restraint,and for reduction <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> deficit, it also takes <strong>the</strong> first major step in along-term program <strong>of</strong> tax reductions aimed at increasing capital formation.The causes <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> longer-term slowdown in productivity growth aremany—and some <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>m are still unknown. But a major depressingfactor has been <strong>the</strong> failure <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Nation's capital stock to increaserelative to its rapidly growing labor force in <strong>the</strong> past 5 or 6 years.Unlike earlier periods, American workers have not been working withincreasing amounts <strong>of</strong> capital. Improving <strong>the</strong> trend <strong>of</strong> productivitygrowth will require restoring <strong>the</strong> growth <strong>of</strong> capital per worker.Higher investment will also be critically required throughoutAmerica's energy-using industries to speed up <strong>the</strong> replacement <strong>of</strong>10

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