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Economic Report of the President

Report - The American Presidency Project

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ment were sharply diminished by <strong>the</strong> 13.3 percent decline in pr<strong>of</strong>itsduring <strong>the</strong> second quarter <strong>of</strong> 1980. While aggregate measures <strong>of</strong>pr<strong>of</strong>itability and corporate cash flow reflected cyclical weakness, <strong>the</strong>semeasures understated <strong>the</strong> extent <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> problem by masking importantdistributional imbalances. In particular, oil and coal industrypr<strong>of</strong>its represent a growing share <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> aggregate. From <strong>the</strong> firstquarter <strong>of</strong> 1979 to <strong>the</strong> third quarter <strong>of</strong> 1980 corporate pr<strong>of</strong>its in <strong>the</strong>petroleum and coal industries grew from $15.0 billion, or 6.9 percent<strong>of</strong> total corporate pr<strong>of</strong>its, to $22.2 billion, or 11.3 percent.Inventory AccumulationCautious inventory policies continued throughout 1980. Real inventoryaccumulation in <strong>the</strong> fourth quarter was virtually unchangedfrom its level in <strong>the</strong> fourth quarter <strong>of</strong> 1979 and thus had almost noimpact on <strong>the</strong> overall growth in real GNP over <strong>the</strong> 4 quarters <strong>of</strong>1980.Chart 9RATION3.15Real Inventory—Final Sales Ratio,Nonfarm BusinessSEASONALLY ADJUSTED3.103.053.002.952.902.852.80275 y 1968 69 70 71 72 73 74 75 76 77 78 79 80VRATIO OF REAL INVENTORIES AT END OF QUARTER TO REAL FINAL SALES AT MONTHLYRATES.SOURCE: DEPARTMENT OF COMMERCE.As compared with <strong>the</strong> 1970s, inventory-to-sales ratios remainedrelatively low during 1980 (Chart 9). What was more interesting was<strong>the</strong> rapid response <strong>of</strong> production to <strong>the</strong> changes in final sales. As143

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