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Vergara - 1976 - Physiological and morphological adaptability of ri

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EPIDEMIOLOGY or SOUTHERN com LEAF BLIGHT 413<br />

Szrbroutine DEPOS. Subroutine DEPOS calculates the probability‘ <strong>of</strong> a<br />

released spore l<strong>and</strong>ing on uninfected leaf tissue based on LAI. size <strong>of</strong> the field.<br />

<strong>and</strong> percent <strong>of</strong> infected leaf area.<br />

Subroutme iSPORUL. Subroutine SPORUL calculates the number <strong>of</strong> spores<br />

produced based on deiv temperature, dew pe<strong>ri</strong>od. <strong>and</strong> lesion area available for<br />

sporulation. The area available for sporulation is then reduced in proportion<br />

to the amount <strong>of</strong> sporulation calculated.<br />

Sicbrozttine L41. Subroutine LAI calculates the leaf-area index (LAI) <strong>of</strong> the<br />

cornfield based on plant age <strong>and</strong> population.<br />

SIl/JFOIIITHZ SYZE. Subroutine SIZE calculates the size <strong>of</strong> neiv. Z-day-old lesions<br />

based on the average temperatures <strong>of</strong> the previous 2 days.<br />

Suki-airline GEiibll. Subroutine (‘IERM calculates the percent germination<br />

<strong>of</strong> deposited spores based on dew temperature <strong>and</strong> dew pe<strong>ri</strong>od.<br />

Subs-airline .\"0RilL~1L. Subroutine NORMAL calculates a r<strong>and</strong>om value<br />

from a normally dist<strong>ri</strong>buted population <strong>of</strong> mean (MU) <strong>and</strong> va<strong>ri</strong>ance (VAR).<br />

Through use <strong>of</strong> this subroutine, va<strong>ri</strong>ation in the calculated responses <strong>of</strong> the<br />

va<strong>ri</strong>ous processes to the environmental conditions is introduced.<br />

Szibrozr<strong>ri</strong>ne IIDP. Subroutine VDP calculates rates <strong>of</strong> disease increase (r<br />

sens-ii Van cler Plank, 1963) <strong>and</strong> p<strong>ri</strong>nts daily percent <strong>of</strong> infected leaf tissue <strong>and</strong><br />

pe<strong>ri</strong>od r values.<br />

Ve<strong>ri</strong>fying the simulator<br />

Environmental data obtained du<strong>ri</strong>ng the I972 field study were submitted to<br />

the disease model <strong>and</strong> the results <strong>of</strong> the simulated epidemic WCTC compared<br />

with the observed results.<br />

Final amounts <strong>of</strong>diseased tissue (X) were observed in four field plots. Similar<br />

filial X values were observed from l0 simulations <strong>of</strong> the epidemic, indicating<br />

that the simulator closely mimics the actual disease <strong>and</strong> does so with approximately<br />

the same va<strong>ri</strong>ability as is observed in nature.<br />

Acknowledgements<br />

The author is deeply grateful to Dr. R. A. Ilvre for permission to include his<br />

published research on spore release <strong>and</strong> the effect <strong>of</strong> relative humidity on sportilation.<br />

The research was conducted by Dr. Hvre, Research Plant Pathologist,<br />

Northeastern Region, Ag<strong>ri</strong>cultural Research Service. U.S. Department <strong>of</strong><br />

Ag<strong>ri</strong>culture, <strong>and</strong> adjunct pr<strong>of</strong>essor at the Pennsylvania State University.<br />

The section on Modeling <strong>and</strong> Simulation represents the singular research <strong>of</strong><br />

Dr. Lmvry B. Massie as part <strong>of</strong> his doctoral dissertation. The author thanks Dr.<br />

Massie for his permission to include a portion <strong>of</strong> his thesis, at my discretion.<br />

Special thanks are due to Mrs. Gab<strong>ri</strong>elle Tung for her valuable assistance in<br />

our controlled environment research on infection, colonization, <strong>and</strong> spoiulation.

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