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Vergara - 1976 - Physiological and morphological adaptability of ri

Vergara - 1976 - Physiological and morphological adaptability of ri

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62 CLltvlATE AND RICE<br />

DISCUSSION<br />

CHANDLER (Chairman): This paper presents the problems <strong>of</strong> crop planning in climates with<br />

va<strong>ri</strong>able <strong>and</strong> <strong>of</strong>ten insufiicient rainfall. A good account <strong>of</strong> the literature in this area <strong>of</strong> study is<br />

included.<br />

It seems to me that an analysis <strong>of</strong> rainfall data over an extended pe<strong>ri</strong>od (as shown in Tables 2<br />

<strong>and</strong> 3 for the New Delhi area) is the best way <strong>of</strong> predicting the hazards involved/cit, to tum it<br />

around—the probabilities for crop production success. This information, along with an underst<strong>and</strong>ing<br />

<strong>of</strong> the nature <strong>of</strong> the va<strong>ri</strong>eties to be grown. should be obtained for the important <strong>ri</strong>cegrowing<br />

areas where monsoonal rains are erratic in quantity <strong>and</strong> timing.<br />

One must agree with the authors comment that selecting continuous<br />

atmosphe<strong>ri</strong>c drought is logical. conside<strong>ri</strong>ng the high rates <strong>of</strong> evaporation <strong>and</strong> transpiration in<br />

the tropics.<br />

I believe that "water harvesting" as mentioned in this paper from the work <strong>of</strong> Swaminathan<br />

et a1. 1969, is a field <strong>of</strong> study that needs much more attention. One is amazed at the amount <strong>of</strong><br />

w-ater that passes into the <strong>ri</strong>vers <strong>and</strong> out to the ocean even in the regions suffe<strong>ri</strong>ng pe<strong>ri</strong>odically<br />

from a lack <strong>of</strong> water du<strong>ri</strong>ng the rainy season. By relatively" inexpensive construction works.<br />

considerable quantities <strong>of</strong> this water can be impounded <strong>and</strong> used later when needed. I mentioned<br />

this also in my comments on lttr. Alles‘ paper. but I tee] that the importance <strong>of</strong> such<br />

operations cannot be overemphasized.<br />

GHILDYAL: Our studies show that by using a second-degree multiple regression equation we<br />

can predict <strong>ri</strong>ce yieid from the dist<strong>ri</strong>bution <strong>of</strong> climatic parameters du<strong>ri</strong>ng the FICE-gffltvtng<br />

season. I want to continent on it.<br />

A second-degree multiple regression equation was employed for quantifying the relationship<br />

between <strong>ri</strong>ce yield <strong>and</strong> climatic va<strong>ri</strong>ables du<strong>ri</strong>ng the monsoon pe<strong>ri</strong>od <strong>of</strong> ‘North India (Pantnagar).<br />

Above-average weekly total rainfall is beneficial du<strong>ri</strong>ng the nursery pe<strong>ri</strong>od <strong>and</strong> has an<br />

adverse effect du<strong>ri</strong>ng the vegetative growth phase. which coincides with the peak monsoon<br />

pe<strong>ri</strong>od. The <strong>ri</strong>pening phase is most susceptible to excess rainfall. while for maximum daily temperature<br />

it is the late vegetative to early‘ reproductive phase. The reproductive <strong>and</strong> <strong>ri</strong>pening<br />

phases are most susceptible to a change <strong>of</strong> i liC minimum daily temperature from the average.<br />

By using the regression equation obtained for rainfall on <strong>ri</strong>ce yield. <strong>ri</strong>ce yield could be predicted<br />

different for years.<br />

HUKE: 1n Fig. l (time <strong>of</strong> onset <strong>and</strong> withdrawal <strong>of</strong> monsoon) June 1U is the date shown for<br />

onset at Bombay. What is the range <strong>of</strong> va<strong>ri</strong>ability in this <strong>and</strong> other dates‘? Does the va<strong>ri</strong>ability<br />

affect the cropping pattern‘?<br />

SGSIPjJI These figures are based on data for more than 5O years <strong>and</strong> their va<strong>ri</strong>ability is about<br />

plus or minus l0 to l5 days. This does not change the general cropping pattern in the area but<br />

greatly influences crop planning <strong>and</strong> ag<strong>ri</strong>cultural operations in any particular season.<br />

FISCHERI Why‘ not use soil-water budget models: basically sound, inherently more precise<br />

(<strong>and</strong> actually so in comparative studies—see Lonas & Levin. Ag. Meteorol. in press). These are<br />

not compuratio<strong>ri</strong>tillyi dgfjicult. <strong>and</strong> summa<strong>ri</strong>ze a mass <strong>of</strong> tithcrwise confusing weather data. compared<br />

with multiple regession or more traditional methods <strong>of</strong> summa<strong>ri</strong>zing.<br />

Sas<strong>ri</strong>y: The extent <strong>of</strong> applicability <strong>of</strong> soil-water balance models for agro-climatie classification<br />

has been adequately discussed by Dr. Slatyer (1968) <strong>and</strong> Burgos (1968) referred to in my<br />

paper. Secondly‘. where a number <strong>of</strong> crops <strong>and</strong> va<strong>ri</strong>eties are involved. we do not yet exactly<br />

know the water availability patterns at different stages <strong>of</strong> crop growth in relation to the atmosphe<strong>ri</strong>c<br />

dem<strong>and</strong>.<br />

FISCHER; lfthe lack <strong>of</strong> soil data limits the use <strong>of</strong> soil-water budgets. then summa<strong>ri</strong>es based on<br />

weather alone are equally limited. In other words, the exercise <strong>of</strong> trying to do the soil-outer<br />

budget immediately forces you or someone to get the soil data if it is so important.<br />

Snsiijt-‘r Thank you for the suggestion. I am not against the use <strong>of</strong> soil-water budget models<br />

whenever they are applicable. provided measured rather than estimated values are used.<br />

VELASCO: I appreciate that your paper is concerned with the relationship between rainfall<br />

<strong>and</strong> yield over a broad area. Hotvever. I am interested in knowing what effect drought has<br />

when it comes at va<strong>ri</strong>ous stages in the development <strong>of</strong> <strong>ri</strong>ce. Can you enlighten me on this.<br />

please‘?<br />

Sas<strong>ri</strong>jv: In my paper I have attempted to desc<strong>ri</strong>be a single station model for assessing atmosphe<strong>ri</strong>c<br />

stress at va<strong>ri</strong>ous stages <strong>of</strong> crop growth using rainfall data. However, for each crop va<strong>ri</strong>ety

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